The real story, though, is how much ground conditions matter to this horse. On normal, standard ground, Havana Prince wins roughly one in every three races — five wins from 14 attempts, a 36% win rate that stands out sharply against its overall record. It also has a real preference for the 1m1f to 1m2f range, winning three of eight races at those distances, which narrows down where it can actually perform. At Ripon specifically, it has won twice from six races, a respectable record at a course where consistency counts.
Where the cracks really show is at Class 4 level, where Havana Prince has failed to win from nine attempts. The horse's last victory came at Newcastle on 27 March 2026 — now seven months in the past — suggesting it may have peaked or simply run out of luck against stiffer competition. With David Nolan in the saddle, the numbers improve dramatically: four wins from 13 races, a 31% win rate that's noticeably better than the yard average. Trainer Tony Coyle and Kaine Wood, based near Norton in North Yorkshire, have built a competitive yard this season with 12 winners to their name. For Havana Prince to get back on track, conditions need to align — normal ground, a suitable distance, a jockey it trusts, and ideally a return to lower Class races where it can rediscover its winning form.
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Galloping |
8 | 2 wins, 2 thirds, 4 other | 25 Sep | 25% |
| Ripon Sharp |
6 | 2 wins, 1 third, 3 other | 16 Aug | 33.3% |
| York Galloping |
5 | 5 other | 23 May | 0% |
| Catterick Bridge Sharp |
3 | 1 second, 2 other | 17 Oct | 0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
2 | 2 wins | 7 Apr | 100% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
2 | 2 other | 19 Aug | 0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 30 Mar | 0% |
| Wetherby Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 28 Apr | 0% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
1 | 1 win | 1 Jun | 100% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 4 Jul | 0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 20 Sep | 0% |
| Chester Tight |
1 | 1 other | 6 Aug | 0% |
| Southwell Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 16 Mar | 0% |