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Hardly Surprising

Three races, no wins, and a name that practically writes its own punchline — Hardly Surprising has not exactly set the world on fire so far. The five-year-old has placed twice from three outings, so there is at least some evidence of talent lurking, but that first victory has proven stubbornly elusive. The most recent run came 65 days ago, meaning the horse has had a short break since, which can sometimes be the reset a young horse needs to come back sharper.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Affinisea
Mother
Inquisitive Look
Trainer
Owner
John P McManus
Rating
117

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
4
Career races
1
Wins
25%
Win rate
avg ~10%
75%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What is worth paying attention to is the yard behind it. Harry Fry trains out of Corscombe in Dorset and has sent out 25 winners already this season — a yard that busy does not waste entries on horses it has given up on. When a trainer of that output keeps running a horse that has not yet won, it usually means they still believe there is a race to be won with it.

Hardly Surprising has been competing at Class 4 level, which sits in the middle of the racing ladder — not the elite, but not the bottom rung either. Going winless at that level across three races is a little underwhelming, though placing twice does suggest the horse is competitive enough to be in the mix. The recent sequence of fifth, third, third reads like a horse that is gradually finding its feet rather than one going backwards. Whether it can turn those placings into a win is the question the next run will start to answer.

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft
Soft (muddy)
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Left-handed, tight turning
Left-handed, wide and galloping

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Apr
🏆 Won
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
23 Jan
3rd
Doncaster
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 15 runners
29 Nov
3rd
Bangor-on-Dee
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners
7 Nov
5th
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Bryan Carver Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Fontwell Park
Tight
2 1 win, 1 other 8 Apr 50%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 third 29 Nov 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 23 Jan 0%