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Hard Dealt

There is a horse in Henry Daly's Ludlow yard that has spent most of its career doing everything right except winning. Hard Dealt is a six-year-old with 1 win and 6 places from 11 races — a win rate of just 9%, or roughly 1 in every 11 outings — and a recent run of form that tells the story of a horse perpetually hovering just outside the winner's enclosure. Four of its last six races have produced a second place, which is the kind of consistency that is quietly impressive and quietly maddening in equal measure.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Walk In The Park
Mother
Princess Bella
Trainer
Owner
Richard Johnson Racing- Hard Dealt
Official rating
114

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
11
Career races
1
Wins
9.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
54.5%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
178 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

That sole career win came at Worcester in May 2025, and the trainer is frank about what has followed. A seventh-place finish at Ludlow is something Daly wants to draw a line through — he describes it as a race to forget, and the handicapper apparently agrees, leaving the horse's mark at 108 rather than punishing it further. Before that blip, Hard Dealt had finished second at Aintree on Boxing Day, which is no small thing. Aintree is a big, storied track, and placing there puts a horse in decent company.

The partnership with jockey David Bass is one of the more interesting threads here. Together they have won 1 race from 5 — a 20% win rate, meaning Bass wins 1 in every 5 times he rides this horse. That is a strong ratio compared to the horse's overall career record, and it suggests something clicks when the two are paired.

What Daly finds genuinely difficult is finding the right races. Hard Dealt sits in a frustrating middle ground — too good for the most modest contests, but not quite at the level where the better-quality races are plentiful. As Daly explains it, tracks tend to run plenty of races capped at a rating of 100 but far fewer capped at 110 or 120, which is exactly where a horse rated 108 needs to be looking. It is a structural problem in the sport that catches a particular type of capable but not elite horse. The trainer's plan is to seek out faster, drier ground, which she believes suits the horse better.

Hard Dealt is active right now — it raced just yesterday — and with a yard that has sent out 17 winners already this season, the team around this horse is clearly in form. Whether Hard Dealt can add to that tally depends largely on finding the right race at the right track.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 Apr
4th
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
29 Mar
2nd
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
5 Mar
2nd
Haydock Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
4 Feb
7th
Ludlow
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 11 runners
26 Dec
2nd
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
9 Dec
2nd
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
7 Nov
6th
Exeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
13 May
🏆 Won
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
20 Mar
2nd
Chepstow
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
19 Dec
4th
Exeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
David Bass Current jockey
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Exeter
Undulating
2 2 other 7 Nov 0%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 win 13 May 100%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 second 20 Mar 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 second 9 Dec 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 second 5 Mar 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 second 26 Dec 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 second 29 Mar 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Apr 0%
Ludlow
Undulating
1 1 other 4 Feb 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Nov 0%