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Guard The Moon

There's a horse that knows how to pick its moments. Guard The Moon has built a career that any trainer would be quietly pleased with — 6 wins and 10 places from 17 races, which works out to winning roughly 1 in every 3 races it enters. For an 8-year-old that is still actively racing, that kind of consistency tells you this is a horse that competes rather than makes up the numbers.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Pether's Moon
Mother
Polly Potter
Owner
James & Jean Potter Ltd
Rating
137

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
17
Career races
6
Wins
35.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
58.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
19 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The Nigel and Willy Twiston-Davies yard, based in Naunton in the Gloucestershire countryside, has been in outstanding form this season with 57 winners sent out — and Guard The Moon is a solid part of that story. Sam Twiston-Davies, who rides for the family operation, has been aboard 11 times and won 4 of those — a win rate of 36%, which is better than 1 in 3. That kind of partnership, where a jockey genuinely knows a horse's habits and quirks, tends to bring out the best in both of them.

Where Guard The Moon really catches the eye is at Bangor-on-Dee, the tight, twisting track in North Wales. Two wins from just 3 races there is the kind of record that makes people sit up. Some horses simply suit a particular track — the bends, the ground, the way it flows — and Guard The Moon appears to have found its favourite living room at Bangor. The first career win came there in December 2023, which suggests this is a long-standing relationship rather than a lucky coincidence.

The horse tends to compete at Class 3 level, which sits comfortably in the mid-to-upper tier of British racing without quite reaching the elite events. At that level, Guard The Moon has won 3 from 6 — exactly half. That's a remarkable return and suggests it belongs there rather than being outclassed or, equally, wasted in easier company. The most recent win came at Windsor in January 2026, just two months ago, so this is a horse in current form rather than one living off past glories. With two wins in the last six races and another outing just 19 days ago, Guard The Moon is very much in its stride.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Strong overall win rate: wins 35% of races
Effective partnership with Sam Twiston-Davies: 36% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 10 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Good (firm-ish)
Heavy (very wet)
Good to soft
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1
Class 2
Avoids
Class 3
Class 4
Ok
Class 5
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turning
Loves
Left-handed, undulating
Right-handed, tight turning
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Mar
DNF
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 17 runners
10 Mar
DNF
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 17 runners
16 Jan
🏆 Won
Windsor
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners
29 Dec
DNF
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
6 Dec
🏆 Won
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
25 Apr
DNF
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
13 Mar
DNF
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 24 runners
22 Feb
8th
Chepstow
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 13 runners
30 Nov
2nd
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
9 Nov
2nd
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Sam Twiston-Davies Current Jockey
36.4%
Win rate
4/11
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
Mr Toby McCain-Mitchell
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Finn Lambert
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
3 2 wins, 1 second 23 Mar 66.7%
Newbury
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 29 Dec 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
3 3 other 10 Mar 0%
Aintree
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 6 Dec 50%
Chepstow
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 22 Feb 0%
Hexham
Undulating
1 1 win 11 May 100%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 win 3 Oct 100%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 win 16 Jan 100%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%