UK time :

Grey Leader

Grey Leader is a six-year-old who knows how to win but hasn't quite figured out how to do it consistently. With five wins from 28 races, the horse has a win rate of roughly 1 in every 5 outings — decent form by most standards, but the timing has become a problem. It has now gone ten months without a win, with nothing to show from its last six races except a string of mid-field finishes: 17th, 7th, 10th, 8th, 15th, and 25th. After racing just yesterday, Grey Leader is clearly still being campaigned regularly, but the question hanging over the yard is whether the horse has simply run out of luck or whether something more fundamental has shifted.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Father
El Kabeir
Mother
Best New Show
Trainer
Owner
Fastfix Holdings Limited
Official rating
70

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
28
Career races
5
Wins
17.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
28.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
82 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes this particular horse worth watching is the partnership between trainer R P Burns and jockey Gary Carroll. Together they have a much better record than the overall statistics suggest — Carroll has ridden Grey Leader 15 times and won on four of those occasions, a win rate of 27 per cent. That's nearly three times better than the horse's career average, which hints that when the right jockey is in the saddle, something clicks. Burns runs a small operation at Collinstown in County Westmeath and has been competitive this season with five winners already.

The bright spot in Grey Leader's record came last October at Tipperary, which remains the horse's most recent victory. Before the long dry spell, wins had come at Gowran Park and Tipperary, suggesting the horse performs well at Irish courses. At six years old, Grey Leader is approaching an age where horses either consolidate their form or begin to fade. The current losing run is unsettling, but the strong record between horse and Carroll offers hope that another breakthrough isn't far away — if the pair can find the right race and the right ground.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Yet to win at The Curragh in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Heavy (very wet)
Yielding (slightly soft)
Good (a little give)
Ok
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
1M1F – 1M2F
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Jul
17th
Galway
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 21 runners
13 Jul
7th
Killarney
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 8 runners
30 Jun
10th
Roscommon
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 13 runners
22 Jun
8th
Ballinrobe
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 11 runners
25 Apr
15th
Limerick
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 19 runners
15 Mar
25th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 26 runners
2 Nov
11th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 23 runners
16 Oct
5th
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Yielding · 8 runners
5 Oct
🏆 Won
Tipperary
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 7 runners
22 Sep
8th
Listowel
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
26.7%
Win rate
4/15
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Nicola Burns(5) Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
W J Lee
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
6 6 other 15 Mar 0%
Galway
Tight
5 1 win, 4 other 28 Jul 20%
Killarney
Sharp
4 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 13 Jul 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
2 2 wins 16 Oct 100%
Listowel
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 22 Sep 50%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 11 Jul 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 win 5 Oct 100%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Jun 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 18 May 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Jun 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 30 Jun 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Apr 0%