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Grey Fable

There is a horse that knows exactly where it wants to be, and that place is Chester. Grey Fable has won 2 of its 6 races at the famous old track — a success rate of roughly 1 in 3 — which is a remarkable return for a horse that overall wins just 3 times from every 40 races it runs. That overall record sounds modest, but it hides a horse with a very specific profile: get it to the right track, at the right distance, and it becomes a different animal entirely.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Starspangledbanner
Mother
Satwa Ruby
Owner
Derby Bar Syndicate
Rating
59

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
40
Career races
3
Wins
7.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
22.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Distance is key to understanding Grey Fable. At a mile and six furlongs to two miles — the longer end of the spectrum — it has won 3 of 19 races, or roughly 1 in every 6. Across all other distances, it has won nothing at all. That is not a coincidence; it is a horse that needs time to find its rhythm and rewards those who are patient enough to let it run.

Trained by Karl Thornton out of Skerries in County Dublin, Grey Fable is part of a yard that has sent out 4 winners this season. The horse is usually partnered by Robbie Colgan, who has yet to ride it to victory in 19 attempts together — a frustrating stat on paper, though it says as much about the horse's overall win rate as it does about the partnership. Grey Fable places regularly, appearing in the frame in 9 of its 40 races, which means it is competitive far more often than it actually wins.

At six years old and with a win as recently as seven weeks ago at Dundalk, Grey Fable is very much a current performer. That late May win is the most recent of its three career victories, and with the horse having raced just one day ago, it is clearly being kept busy. When the form figures show a 1 buried among the recent runs, it is a reminder that this horse can still find the line when conditions suit. The trick, as ever, is finding that combination of the right track — Chester above all — and the right trip. When those two things come together, Grey Fable tends to deliver.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 16% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 10 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
5F – 6½F
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Jul
5th
Limerick
1m6f – 2m · Good · 14 runners
20 Jun
DNF
Down Royal
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 17 runners
26 May
🏆 Won
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 15 runners
18 May
14th
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 18 runners
5 May
4th
Ayr
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
10 Apr
6th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
21 Nov
6th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 16 runners
29 Oct
5th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 17 runners
17 Oct
7th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
13 Sep
6th
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/19
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
2/2
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Adam Grant Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jack Cleary
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Dylan Kidd
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
8 1 win, 7 other 26 May 12.5%
Chester
Tight
6 2 wins, 2 seconds, 2 other 13 Sep 33.3%
Roscommon
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 18 May 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
3 3 other 18 Mar 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
3 3 other 20 Jun 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 2 other 18 Oct 0%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 15 Sep 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Jul 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 2 other 11 May 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 2 other 30 Aug 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 20 Jul 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Sep 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 third 5 May 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 5 May 0%