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Grey Fable

There is a horse who took three years of racing to find its feet, and has now found them in the most specific way possible: over long distances, at a small number of tracks where it clearly feels at home. Grey Fable is a 6-year-old with 3 wins from 38 races — not the kind of record that makes headlines, but the details behind it are more interesting than the headline suggests.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Starspangledbanner
Mother
Satwa Ruby
Owner
Derby Bar Syndicate
Rating
56

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
38
Career races
3
Wins
7.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
21.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The distance is the key to understanding this horse. Over 1 mile 6 furlongs to 2 miles, Grey Fable has won 3 from 17 races — that is a win rate of roughly 1 in every 6, which is a completely different animal to the 1-in-12 overall record. Drop it back in trip and those wins disappear. Train it at the right distance and you have something worth watching.

Chester is where the story gets genuinely compelling. The famous old circular track in the north of England has produced 2 of Grey Fable's 3 career wins from just 6 visits — winning 1 in every 3 races there. That is a remarkable conversion rate for a horse whose overall record is modest, and it suggests something about the tight, flat, turning nature of Chester suits this horse in ways that most tracks simply do not.

The partnership with regular jockey Robbie Colgan tells a curious story of its own. Across 19 races together, they have not yet found the winner's enclosure as a pair — 0 from 19 — which makes it all the more notable that Grey Fable's most recent win at Dundalk this week came, presumably, with someone else in the saddle. Trained by Karl Thornton out of Skerries in County Dublin, the yard has sent out 4 winners this season, so there is clearly a working operation behind the horse.

That Dundalk win on 26 May 2026 is the freshest data point of all — Grey Fable raced just one day ago and won, capping a recent run of form that includes a win, a fourth, and a fourteenth from the last six outings. Not consistent, then, but capable of a sharp performance when the conditions click. For a horse with a modest overall record, the combination of a course preference, a clear distance sweet spot, and a win in the past 24 hours makes Grey Fable a more intriguing prospect than the bare numbers first suggest.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 18% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
5F – 6½F
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
26 May
🏆 Won
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 15 runners
18 May
14th
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 18 runners
5 May
4th
Ayr
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
10 Apr
6th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
21 Nov
6th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 16 runners
29 Oct
5th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 17 runners
17 Oct
7th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
13 Sep
6th
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
5 Sep
6th
Down Royal
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 17 runners
31 May
7th
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 13 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/19
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
2/2
Won / Rode
Dylan Kidd
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
8 1 win, 7 other 26 May 12.5%
Chester
Tight
6 2 wins, 2 seconds, 2 other 13 Sep 33.3%
The Curragh
Galloping
3 3 other 18 Mar 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 18 May 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 20 Jul 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 2 other 18 Oct 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 2 other 30 Aug 0%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 15 Sep 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 2 other 11 May 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
2 2 other 5 Sep 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Sep 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Oct 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 third 5 May 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 5 May 0%