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Grey Fable

The six-year-old has claimed just three victories across 44 races — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 14 races — but those wins tell a story of a horse that knows exactly what it likes. Put Grey Fable over a mile and a half to two miles, and suddenly the form shifts: it has won 3 of 22 races at that distance, a respectable 14% win rate that highlights the importance of getting the trip right.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Father
Starspangledbanner
Mother
Satwa Ruby
Owner
Derby Bar Syndicate
Official rating
106

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
44
Career races
3
Wins
6.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
22.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
13 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The horse's most familiar hunting ground is Chester, where it has become a real specialist. Two wins from seven races at the track suggest Grey Fable has found something about Chester's shape and makeup that suits it, a kind of home advantage that many horses develop over years of racing the same circuit. Its last victory came at Dundalk on 26 May, which now sits four months in the past — a long drought for a horse that has never found winning easy. Recent form has been genuinely poor. Across the last six races, the best Grey Fable could manage was a second place, with a brace of fifth-place finishes telling their own story of a horse struggling for form. Robbie Colgan, its most frequent jockey with 19 rides, has never managed to steer it to victory, though that may simply reflect the horse's overall win rate rather than any mismatch between rider and animal. Step up the class, though, and things get harder still: at the highest level tested — Class 4 races — Grey Fable has never won at all, a sobering statistic that frames the limits of its ambition. Still, at six years old with races run in its legs, there is time yet to find another winning thread.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
✔ Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 14% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 11 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
5F – 6½F
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
5 Oct
5th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
1 Oct
6th
Bellewstown
1m6f – 2m · Soft_To_Heavy · 13 runners
13 Aug
2nd
Beverley
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
25 Jul
4th
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
11 Jul
5th
Limerick
1m6f – 2m · Good · 14 runners
20 Jun
DNF
Down Royal
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 17 runners
26 May
🏆 Won
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 15 runners
18 May
14th
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 18 runners
5 May
4th
Ayr
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
10 Apr
6th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/19
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
2/2
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Dylan Kidd
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Jack Cleary
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
8 1 win, 7 other 26 May 12.5%
Chester
Tight
7 2 wins, 2 seconds, 3 other 25 Jul 28.6%
Roscommon
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 18 May 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
3 3 other 20 Jun 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
3 3 other 18 Mar 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 2 other 18 Oct 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Jul 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 2 other 30 Aug 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 20 Jul 0%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 15 Sep 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 2 other 11 May 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Oct 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 5 May 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 second 13 Aug 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 other 1 Oct 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Sep 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 third 5 May 0%