Green Sky

The most encouraging corner of the form book is at distances between a mile and one furlong and a mile and two furlongs, where Green Sky has won 1 from 4 races — a 25% win rate, or one in every four attempts. In a career where wins have been hard to come by, that is actually a meaningful signal, and it suggests the yard knows where this horse has its best chance of being competitive.

Recent form, read from the last race backwards, reads 4-5-4-7-3-9 — a scattering of mid-field finishes with the occasional promising run mixed in. Green Sky raced just yesterday, so fitness is not a question, but the pattern over the last six races has been one of consistency without conviction. Regular partner J J Slevin has ridden the horse five times without a win between them, which is not a criticism of either — some combinations just don't click, and the chemistry simply hasn't produced results yet.

Trainer David Pipe, based at Nicholashayne in Somerset, is having a productive season with 35 winners on the board, so the yard clearly knows how to get horses to perform. Green Sky may not be the stable star, but it is in capable hands, and with the right trip on the right day, that Ballinrobe form shows there is a win somewhere in this horse still.