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Granite Bay

Granite Bay is a five-year-old still hunting for form after a long drought. The horse has won three times from 18 races — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 6 attempts — with eight other finishes in the places. That record alone suggests a horse capable of winning but unreliable, which matches what the recent form book tells us: Granite Bay hasn't crossed the line first in its last six outings, with a run of 24th, 2nd, 7th, 3rd, 4th, and 2nd. The second-place finishes show the horse is competitive, but something keeps it just short.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Time Test
Mother
Indira
Trainer
Jarlath P Fahey
Owner
Mrs Sarah Collins
Official rating
92

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
18
Career races
3
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
21 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Ronan Whelan has ridden Granite Bay more than anyone else — 13 times — and done noticeably better than the overall record suggests. Together they have three wins from 13 races, a win rate of about 1 in 4, which is markedly stronger than the horse's general form. That gap hints that the horse goes well for this particular rider, or perhaps runs better when conditions suit. Speaking of which, Granite Bay absolutely thrives on normal ground: it has won 2 of 4 races on such surfaces, a 50% win rate that stands out sharply against its overall record. On faster or softer going, the horse struggles to fire.

The horse's best distance appears to be around the 1m3f to 1m4f range, where it has won once from four attempts. Its sole recent victory came at Listowel on 24 September 2024 — nearly two years ago now — and since then it has been unable to recapture that winning touch. Trained by Jarlath P Fahey from Monasterevín in County Kildare, Granite Bay remains active, having raced just a day ago. The yard itself is modest: only three winners sent out this season. Granite Bay is the kind of horse that on its day, particularly on normal ground, with Whelan in the saddle, and at the right distance, has genuine winning form — but consistency has eluded it, and that long gap without a win will need to be broken soon.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
✔ Excellent record on yielding ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
1M6F – 2M
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
27 Sep
24th
The Curragh
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 33 runners
12 Sep
2nd
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 12 runners
27 Jul
7th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 23 runners
3 Jun
3rd
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners
9 Apr
4th
Gowran Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 9 runners
27 Oct
2nd
Galway
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 18 runners
12 Oct
4th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 23 runners
22 Sep
2nd
Listowel
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 11 runners
1 Sep
2nd
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 19 runners
9 Jul
5th
Fairyhouse
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
23.1%
Win rate
3/13
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Roscommon
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 1 Sep 33.3%
Listowel
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 second 22 Sep 50%
Gowran Park
Undulating
2 2 other 9 Apr 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 27 Sep 0%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Oct 0%
Galway
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 27 Jul 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 win 10 May 100%
Chester
Tight
1 1 second 12 Sep 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Jun 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 9 Jul 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Apr 0%