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Grangeclare West

There is a version of Grangeclare West that is almost unbeatable, and the key to finding it is simple: wait for the rain. On wet or muddy ground, this ten-year-old has won 3 of its 5 races — a 60% win rate that is genuinely extraordinary. For context, most good racehorses win roughly 1 in every 5 or 6 races across a career. When the ground is soft and the water is sitting on the track, Grangeclare West wins 3 in every 5. That is not a quirk — that is a horse with a very specific superpower.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
10 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Presenting
Mother
Hayabusa
Owner
Cheveley Park Stud
Rating
166

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
16
Career races
5
Wins
31.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
43.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
36 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The overall career record tells a strong story in its own right: 5 wins and 7 places from 16 races, meaning it has finished in the top three in nearly 75% of its outings. Across those 16 races it has won roughly 1 in every 3, which puts it comfortably above the average for horses at its level. The first win came at Navan in November 2022, and the most recent — critically — was just five weeks ago at Fairyhouse on 21 February 2026. This is not a horse living on past glories. It is a horse that won last month.

Behind this is one of the most formidable training operations in the sport. W P Mullins, based at Muine Bheag in County Carlow, has sent out 237 winners already this season alone. To put that in perspective, most trainers consider a season with 30 or 40 winners a success. Getting a horse ready to perform at its best is genuinely difficult, and Mullins does it at a scale and consistency that is almost without parallel. When a horse comes out of that yard in form, it commands respect.

The one puzzling thread in the story is the partnership with jockey Brian Hayes. In 7 races together, they have not yet won — 0 from 7. That is not a damning number on its own; plenty of factors influence any individual race, and Hayes is a highly capable rider. But given that Grangeclare West has five career wins to its name, the fact that none have come with Hayes aboard is a curiosity worth noting. The recent form — a win, a fourth, and a third in the last six races — suggests the horse is in a decent place. Whether the ground comes up wet will likely matter more than anything else.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 3 wins from 5 starts (60%)
Strong overall win rate: wins 31% of races

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Yielding
Good to yielding
Heavy (very wet)
Good to soft
Good (firm-ish)
Soft to heavy
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Ok

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
21 Feb
🏆 Won
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 10 runners
2 Feb
8th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 13 runners
28 Dec
4th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners
23 Nov
8th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 11 runners
26 Apr
5th
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 20 runners
5 Apr
3rd
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 34 runners
1 Mar
5th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 5 runners
1 Feb
2nd
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 10 runners
28 Dec
6th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
24 Nov
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · 20 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
83.3%
Win rate
5/6
Won / Rode
Michael O'Sullivan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Leopardstown
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 second, 4 other 2 Feb 16.7%
Punchestown
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 23 Nov 33.3%
Navan
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 1 Mar 50%
Naas
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 12 Nov 50%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 win 21 Feb 100%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 third 5 Apr 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%