The distance matters too. Over 7 furlongs to a mile, Grand Citadel wins 2 from 8 races — 25%, or 1 in every 4 attempts. That is a genuinely solid number, and it tells you the team have a clear picture of where this horse is at its best. Get the trip and the track right, and Grand Citadel becomes a different proposition entirely.
At five years old and still racing, the recent form is the most encouraging part of the story. The last six runs read 9-4-5-3-2-1 in reverse — in other words, a consistent climb back toward the front. That kind of progressive sequence, finishing with a win at Leicester just this week, suggests a horse that has found its rhythm at exactly the right moment. It is currently competing mostly at Class 6, the entry level of British racing, and winning 1 from 6 at that level — around 1 in every 6 races — which is respectable without being dominant. But the Leicester numbers suggest that when conditions align, Grand Citadel can do more than just compete.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester Sharp |
4 | 2 wins, 2 other | 25 May | 50% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
3 | 3 other | 25 Mar | 0% |
| Cork Galloping |
3 | 3 other | 14 Jun | 0% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 21 Apr | 0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
2 | 1 third, 1 other | 28 Apr | 0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 3 Jun | 0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
1 | 1 second | 19 May | 0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 15 Jul | 0% |
| Tipperary Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 11 Aug | 0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 19 Jul | 0% |
| Southwell Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 11 Feb | 0% |
| Navan Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 13 Jul | 0% |
| Sligo Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 15 May | 0% |