:

Fresh Fade

There is a horse in Michael Attwater's Epsom yard that has proven it can win — it just hasn't managed to do it again since. Fresh Fade is a 3-year-old with one career victory to its name, taken at Naas back in August 2025, and that solitary win from 14 races tells the story of a horse that finds ways to be competitive without quite getting its nose in front. A 7% win rate — roughly 1 win every 14 races — sounds modest, but the six places scattered through that record show this is not a horse that simply turns up and finishes last. It runs, it competes, it just doesn't convert.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Cotai Glory
Mother
Julienne
Owner
Dare To Dream Racing
Rating
78

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
14
Career races
1
Wins
7.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The recent form makes for slightly uncomfortable reading. Six races without a win, and the figures — 6, 12, a non-finish, 5, 4, 13 — suggest a horse whose form has dipped rather than built since that August breakthrough. The wide spread of those finishing positions, from a creditable fourth to a distant thirteenth, hints at inconsistency, the kind that makes a horse tricky to predict on any given day.

What makes Fresh Fade worth watching is context. Attwater's yard has sent out 27 winners already this season, which means this is a team that clearly knows how to get horses to the winner's enclosure. When a stable is firing like that, they tend to know when a horse is ready — and Fresh Fade raced just yesterday, so clearly the team believes there is still something to find here. For a 3-year-old, the season is long and horses can improve sharply. That Naas win is proof the ability is there. Whether it comes out again is the question worth asking.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 Jun
6th
Salisbury
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
23 May
12th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners
9 May
DNF
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
12 Dec
5th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
14 Nov
4th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
11 Oct
13th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 14 runners
22 Sep
6th
Fairyhouse
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 13 runners
6 Sep
3rd
Navan
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
24 Aug
🏆 Won
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
13 Aug
5th
Gowran Park
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
W J Lee
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Naas
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 11 Oct 33.3%
Dundalk
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Dec 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 second 1 Jun 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 third 6 Sep 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 13 Aug 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Jun 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 third 2 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 9 May 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 23 May 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 30 Jun 0%