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Fortunate Star

There is something quietly reliable about Fortunate Star. Over 49 races — a long and busy career for a six-year-old — this horse has won 7 times and placed a further 19, meaning it has finished in the top positions in more than half its races. That level of consistency is easy to undervalue, but consider this: across nearly 50 attempts, it has almost always been competitive. A 14% win rate works out to roughly 1 win in every 7 races, which sounds modest until you remember that most horses go entire seasons without winning anything at all.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Unfortunately
Mother
Effusive
Owner
Sun Hill Racing Ltd
Rating
58

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
50
Career races
7
Wins
14.0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
3 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The recent form is where things get genuinely interesting. In the last six races, Fortunate Star has finished second, first, first, fifth, fourth, and eleventh — so after a rough patch in the middle, it has come back sharp. That win at Newcastle in March 2026 was the most recent, and the horse is still active, racing just three weeks ago. This is not a horse winding down; it is a horse in form.

The numbers start to tell a clearer story when you dig into where and how Fortunate Star performs best. On normal ground, it wins almost 1 in every 3 races — 4 wins from 14 — which is a dramatically better record than its overall figures suggest. The same is true over sprint distances, the very shortest races under five furlongs, where it has won 3 of 9, again around 1 in 3. Short, sharp, and on decent ground: that is the sweet spot.

Then there is Southwell, where Fortunate Star has built something close to a home advantage. Three wins from 10 races at that track is a remarkable record for a horse at this level — and it speaks to the kind of course knowledge and confidence that separates a horse who simply runs there from one who genuinely thrives there. Trainer Stephen Hanlon, based at Constable Burton in North Yorkshire, has sent out 3 winners this season, and this horse accounts for a significant part of the yard's recent success.

Regular jockey Zak Wheatley has been in the saddle for 24 of their races together, winning 2 of them — roughly 1 in 12 — which is a more modest return than the horse's overall record. Whether that changes as their partnership develops is one of the interesting threads to follow.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 4 wins from 15 starts (27%)
Course specialist at Southwell: 3 wins from 11 starts (27%)
Well suited by Sprint (< 5f) distances: 30% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Good to soft
Avoids
Good to firm
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Sprint (< 5F)
Loves
5F – 6½F
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4
Avoids
Class 5
Ok
Class 6
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Left-handed, tight turning
Left-handed, undulating
Right-handed, tight turning
Avoids
Right-handed, undulating
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Apr
3rd
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 13 runners
11 Mar
2nd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
6 Mar
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard
24 Feb
🏆 Won
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 8 runners
11 Feb
5th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 7 runners
20 Jan
4th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 9 runners
7 Oct
11th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 12 runners
25 Sep
6th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
9 Sep
7th
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
30 Aug
8th
Beverley
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Zak Wheatley
8.3%
Win rate
2/24
Won / Rode
Mr Harry Smith
18.2%
Win rate
2/11
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
Connor Murtagh
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Conor Whiteley Current Jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Conor Whiteley(7)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
11 3 wins, 2 thirds, 6 other 2 Apr 27.3%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
7 1 win, 1 second, 3 thirds, 2 other 23 Apr 14.3%
Nottingham
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 second, 4 other 16 Oct 16.7%
Newcastle
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 seconds 11 Mar 25%
Doncaster
Galloping
4 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 10 Jul 0%
Beverley
Undulating
3 3 other 30 Aug 0%
Leicester
Sharp
3 3 other 9 Sep 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 12 Aug 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 6 Jun 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 26 Jul 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 win 3 Jul 100%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 25 Aug 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 25 Sep 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 22 May 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 2 Apr 0%