The distance window also matters. Forest Spirit excels at races run between a mile and six furlongs and two miles, winning 2 of 6 at that range, compared to nothing from 18 races at shorter or longer distances. Trained by Mickey Bowen's Welsh yard near Haverfordwest, which has been prolific this season with 52 winners, Forest Spirit competes mostly in Class 5 races — the lower tier — yet has never won at that level, going 0 for 7. It tends to do its winning at slightly softer company, which suggests it may be hitting a ceiling in its current grade.
That said, the recent form is a concern. Over the last six runs, Forest Spirit has finished 4-2-2-3-4-7, meaning it has not won in nineteen months. The top-3 finishes are there — a second, two thirds, another fourth — so there is consistency of sorts, but consistency without winners does not pay the bills. Last raced just a day ago, it is an active runner with an 8% overall win rate across its career. For a horse this modest, Forest Spirit remains a candidate worth watching on normal ground over the right distance, but those conditions may need to align perfectly just to remind anyone it can still do what it did back in March.
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
5 | 1 win, 1 second, 3 other | 7 Apr | 20% |
| Worcester Galloping |
4 | 1 second, 1 third, 2 other | 10 Sep | 0% |
| Ffos Las Galloping |
4 | 1 second, 1 third, 2 other | 20 May | 0% |
| Market Rasen Sharp |
2 | 2 other | 17 Oct | 0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 13 Mar | 0% |
| Southwell Galloping |
1 | 1 win | 15 Mar | 100% |
| Perth Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 23 Sep | 0% |
| Stratford-on-Avon Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 6 Sep | 0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 28 Jun | 0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
1 | 1 third | 28 Apr | 0% |
| Cartmel Tight |
1 | 1 other | 26 Jun | 0% |
| Chepstow Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 13 May | 0% |