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First Candidate

There is something quietly compelling about a horse that takes a while to find its rhythm but then rewards patience in exactly the way its trainer always believed it would. First Candidate is a 6-year-old who has raced six times, winning once and finishing in the top three on four occasions — a record that translates to roughly 1 win from every 6 races, with places coming far more regularly than the bare win column suggests.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Jack Hobbs
Mother
Storm Patrol
Owner
Jarlath P Conway
Official rating
122

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
6
Career races
1
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
66.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
147 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

That sole win came at Haydock Park on 4th April 2026, and it arrived at a distance between a mile and six furlongs and two miles — a range where First Candidate has now won 1 from 3 races, a 33% win rate that stands in sharp contrast to zero wins from three attempts at the lower Class 4 level. Make of that what you will, but it hints at a horse that perhaps needs the right conditions and distance to show its best rather than one that simply runs well everywhere.

The trainer Dan Skelton, whose yard in Alcester, Warwickshire has sent out 194 winners already this season — a figure that puts it among the most productive operations in Britain — has spoken with obvious affection about First Candidate. She came over from Ireland having won a point-to-point, went straight over hurdles at Stratford on her first start for the yard, and things went badly wrong: she charged off in front, ran far too keenly, and fell at the last fence. Skelton was clear-eyed about it — they would be patient, drop back to two miles, and trust that the ability was there. What followed has largely backed that instinct up.

The recent form makes pleasant reading: her last six runs read third, first, second, second, fifth, and a dash representing a non-completion — a sequence that tells the story of a horse gradually getting its head right and beginning to deliver. She raced just one day ago, so is very much in the middle of her season. Whether the Haydock win proves a breakthrough or simply a high point remains to be seen, but there is a trainer with 194 winners this season quietly confident she has more to offer, and that is usually a reasonable place to start.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
24 May
3rd 1%
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
4 Apr
🏆 Won 1%
Haydock Park
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
21 Mar
2nd
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners
4 Feb
2nd
Ludlow
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 12 runners
22 Dec
5th
Huntingdon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
30 Oct
DNF
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Harry Skelton Current jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 win 4 Apr 100%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Dec 0%
Ludlow
Undulating
1 1 second 4 Feb 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 third 24 May 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 second 21 Mar 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 other 30 Oct 0%