Fireblade
Fireblade is a consistent mid-range performer who has shown enough quality to win at the highest levels, but has struggled to find the form that brought those victories. The five-year-old has won just twice in 21 races overall — a 10% win rate — yet those two successes tell a story worth watching. One came at Leicester on 04 April 2025, his first career win, and the other at Ascot on 09 August 2025 in a Class 2 race, which means he has beaten good horses on a major track. That Ascot win was 13 months ago, however, and he hasn't won since, despite running in the last week. His most recent six races tell the tale: fourth, then fourth again, second, third, fourteenth, and fourth. He's close but not quite there.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
Elb Bloodstock Ltd And R L Banks
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
The key to Fireblade lies in the ground beneath his hooves and the distance of the race. He absolutely thrives on fast, dry ground, winning 2 of his 10 races (20%) when conditions are firm — double his overall win rate — while struggling when the track is wet or muddy. Over a mile and three to a mile and four furlongs, his sweet spot distance, he has won 1 of his 7 races (14%), well above his baseline. Dylan Cunha's Newmarket yard, which has sent out 45 winners this season, has the resources to place him carefully, and when Fireblade is in the right conditions at the right trip, he becomes dangerous. At Class 4 races, his natural level, he wins roughly 1 in 6 outings (17%). The challenge now is whether he can rediscover the spark that carried him to Ascot, or whether those two wins were his peak. Either way, a dry summer and a patient trainer give him every chance.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 10 starts (20%)
✔ Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 14% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Sep
4th
Goodwood
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners
19 Aug
14th
York
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
24 Jul
3rd
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
11 Jul
2nd
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
27 Jun
4th
Windsor
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
21 Apr
4th
Pontefract
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 11 runners
11 Oct
17th
Newmarket
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 21 runners
7 Sep
3rd
York
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
20 Aug
9th
York
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
9 Aug
🏆 Won
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Ascot Galloping |
6 |
1 win, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 1 other |
24 Jul |
16.7% |
| York Galloping |
3 |
1 third, 2 other |
19 Aug |
0% |
| Sandown Park Galloping |
2 |
2 seconds |
4 Jul |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 third |
8 Jan |
0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
20 Jan |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
4 Apr |
100% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
30 Oct |
0% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
8 Sep |
0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
11 Oct |
0% |
| Pontefract Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
21 Apr |
0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
27 Jun |
0% |