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Fierce

There is a well-worn saying in racing that the best bargains come from knowing where to look. Paul Midgley, who trains out of Westow in North Yorkshire, has built a reputation for exactly that — buying horses cheaply at sales and squeezing wins out of them that nobody expected. Fierce fits that template almost perfectly. Picked up for just 1,000 guineas at a horses-in-training sale, he looked unpromising on paper: he had run badly in a low-grade race before the sale, which is probably why the price was so cheap. But Midgley spotted a familiar name in the pedigree — the horse's brother, The Bell Conductor, had already passed through the same yard — and gambled that the ability was there if the problems could be fixed. A surgical procedure on his soft palate followed, and the horse started running properly.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dandy Man
Mother
Saffian
Owner
Calcaria Racing & Partner
Rating
69

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
33
Career races
4
Wins
12.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That context matters when you look at Fierce's career record. He has won 4 races from 33 — roughly 1 in every 8 — and earned places in another 14, which tells you he is competitive without being a regular winner. He is six years old and very much still in action, having raced just yesterday. On normal ground he has won 2 from 11 races, a rate of 18% — or roughly 1 in every 5 — which is notably better than his overall numbers, and a useful pointer for when to watch him closely.

His most recent win came at Wolverhampton in August 2025, and Midgley was refreshingly honest about how it happened: the pace at the front was too hot, the leaders burned each other out, and Fierce was in the right place to pick up the pieces. "He had no right to win at the weights," the trainer said, which is the kind of straight-talking that makes a win feel both lucky and earned at the same time. That is now 10 months ago, and his last 6 runs have produced no wins — finishing in the top three twice but drifting back to mid-field more often. One interesting gap in his record: he has run 14 times in Class 4 races, which are the mid-tier contests he typically targets, without winning any of them. His wins have come elsewhere, which is a slightly odd quirk worth watching.

Tom Queally rides him most often and has won twice from 14 attempts together — about 1 in every 7 rides — a partnership that works without being spectacular. With Midgley's yard in strong form this season, already sending out 39 winners, there will be plenty of people watching to see if Fierce can add a fifth.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 11 starts (18%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Southwell in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Sprint (< 5F)
Unknown
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Jun
3rd
Beverley
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
18 May
2nd
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
7 Apr
3rd
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 9 runners
26 Nov
7th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 7 runners
18 Nov
5th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
9 Oct
5th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
25 Sep
11th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
28 Aug
11th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
10 Aug
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 4 runners
6 Aug
8th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
14.3%
Win rate
2/14
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Tom Eaves Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
5 1 third, 4 other 7 Apr 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
3 1 win, 2 other 25 Sep 33.3%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 third 22 Aug 33.3%
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 18 Nov 0%
Windsor
Sharp
3 3 other 6 May 0%
Beverley
Undulating
3 1 third, 2 other 16 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 third 29 Jun 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 18 Jul 100%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 win 10 Aug 100%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 11 Jul 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 third 22 Oct 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Sep 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Aug 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 second 18 May 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 19 Aug 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 15 Oct 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 other 28 May 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 second 9 Oct 0%