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False Dawn

False Dawn has raced three times without a win, but has finished second and third in two of those outings, suggesting the horse has some ability even if victory remains elusive. The four-year-old is trained by Brendan Oliver Walsh at Tomhaggard in County Wexford, a yard that has produced two winners this season.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Paza
Owner
William Bates

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
3
Career races
0
Wins
0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
66.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
16 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Raced just a day ago, False Dawn came tenth in that most recent outing before placing third and then third again in the two races before that. Those back-to-back placings hint at some consistency, though the jump to tenth last time is a puzzle — whether that reflects a step up in class, bad luck, or simply an off day is unclear from the record alone. Walsh's yard is relatively modest in output, so every runner matters, and a horse showing some promise in two of its first three races might warrant another chance to find the form that got it into the places.

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Oct
10th
Gowran Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
3 Jul
3rd
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
7 Jun
3rd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 10 runners

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 third 3 Jul 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 third 7 Jun 0%