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Falco Blitz

Across 25 races, this Rathkeale-based runner has won 3 times and hit the frame on 6 more occasions, giving it a win rate of roughly 1 in every 8 races. That is not a flashy record, but it tells the story of a horse that has been around long enough to know what it is doing.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
12 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Falco
Mother
Ignited
Trainer
Owner
Shane Carmody
Official rating
110

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
25
Career races
3
Wins
12%
Win rate
avg ~10%
24%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
145 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The wins have come at specific moments and under specific conditions. Falco Blitz opened its account at Kempton Park in January 2022, and its most recent victory came at Limerick in March 2024 — now 27 months ago. Both wins suggest a horse that picks its moments carefully. More tellingly, when the ground is wet and muddy, it transforms: 2 wins from just 6 races on soft or heavy ground gives it a win rate of 33%, or roughly 1 in every 3 races in those conditions. That is a striking number, more than double its overall average, and it tells you something important about where this horse is at its most dangerous.

The partnership with jockey Conor McNamara — who shares a surname with the trainer, E. McNamara, at the Rathkeale yard — has been central to those better days. McNamara has ridden Falco Blitz in 12 of its 25 races and won on 2 of them, a win rate of 17%, or almost 1 in every 6 rides together. After the Limerick win, McNamara noted he had been patient from the back of the field, found a gap at the right moment and was able to save something for the finish — a description that fits a horse you ride with trust built over time. An earlier assessment from the yard had flagged a preference for left-handed tracks, which is an interesting detail given Limerick fits that profile exactly.

Where Falco Blitz has struggled is at the top level. In 4 races at Class 2 — among the best races in Britain — it has yet to win, recording a 0% win rate in that grade. The recent form tells a similar story: in the last 6 races it has not won once, finishing fifth, third, fourth, fifth, and tenth, with one non-completion in between. The yard has sent out 22 winners this season, so it is an active and functioning operation — but Falco Blitz, at 12, is clearly in the latter chapter of its racing life, doing enough to keep appearing without threatening to rewrite its own story.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 9 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 May
5th
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 13 runners
11 May
3rd
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 15 runners
20 Oct
4th
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners
28 Sep
5th
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 15 runners
24 Aug
DNF
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 13 runners
13 Apr
10th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
10 Mar
🏆 Won
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 8 runners
21 Jan
🏆 Won
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 13 runners
28 Dec
4th
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 13 runners
26 Nov
3rd
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 11 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
16.7%
Win rate
2/12
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
G B Noonan
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Aidan Coleman
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Calum Hogan Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Limerick
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 third, 4 other 20 Oct 16.7%
Listowel
Sharp
4 4 other 30 May 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 19 Mar 50%
Thurles
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 21 Jan 50%
Killarney
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 11 May 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
1 1 other 4 May 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 29 Oct 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 other 12 Feb 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Apr 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Feb 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
1 1 other 12 May 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 third 26 Nov 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Nov 0%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 other 10 Nov 0%