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Excuzio Joe

Excuzio Joe has become the sort of horse that shows up regularly but rarely gets the champagne out. At nine years old, this Matthew J Smith–trained runner has raced seventeen times and won just twice, giving him a win rate of roughly 1 in every 8 races. She is a steady competitor—eight of her seventeen starts have brought a place—but winning has become a distant memory. Her last victory came more than four years ago at Galway on 30 July 2022, which is a long drought by any measure.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Epaulette
Mother
Mountrice Lady
Owner
Gordon Cranston
Official rating
73

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
17
Career races
2
Wins
11.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
47.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
18 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Excuzio Joe worth watching, though, is her clear preference for wet ground. On soft or muddy conditions, she has won 2 of her 6 races—a 33% success rate that stands out sharply against her overall record. Strip away those muddy-ground runs and her form becomes thin, which tells you something important: this is a horse that needs the right conditions to show what she can do. On a normal or fast, dry track, she is ordinary. When it rains, she is a different proposition entirely.

Her recent form has been frustrating. In her last six races, she has been placed twice—most recently just yesterday—but has not won since 2022. That 2-2-15-11-9-2 sequence shows flashes of competitiveness sandwiched between some forgettable runs, suggesting she is a horse that needs everything to click. He is still active and still racing for Matthew J Smith's yard in Kilmessan, which has had a decent season with eight winners overall. For anyone following Excuzio Joe, the message is simple: she is worth backing if the forecast is wet and the ground is heavy, but on a dry day, she is unlikely to trouble the judge.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
1 Oct
2nd
Bellewstown
7f – 1m · Soft_To_Heavy · 7 runners
30 Jul
2nd
Galway
7f – 1m · Yielding · 19 runners
13 May
15th
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Soft · 16 runners
5 Nov
11th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 14 runners
22 Oct
9th
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 12 runners
16 Oct
2nd
Gowran Park
7f – 1m · Heavy · 7 runners
29 Nov
10th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 24 runners
31 Oct
2nd
Galway
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 17 runners
22 Oct
3rd
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 15 runners
22 Sep
11th
Listowel
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 19 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Galway
Tight
6 1 win, 2 seconds, 3 other 30 Jul 16.7%
Listowel
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 22 Sep 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 2 other 13 May 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 22 Oct 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 win 6 Oct 100%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Nov 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 second 1 Oct 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 second 16 Oct 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Nov 0%