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Excellent Believe

Excellent Believe has won 3 of his 13 races — a solid win rate of roughly 1 in 4 — but the 4-year-old has hit a rough patch. His last win came at Haydock Park on 9 August 2025, and he has not found the winner's enclosure in his last six races, though he has finished in the top 3 three times during that run. His most recent outing, just a day ago, ended in tenth place, suggesting the search for a return to form continues.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Lambeth Walk
Owner
Shamrock Thoroughbreds
Official rating
99

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
13
Career races
3
Wins
23.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
61.5%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
1 day
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Trained by Stephen Thorne at Rush in County Dublin, Excellent Believe got off the mark at Nottingham in May 2025, and that early success suggested the horse had genuine potential. Thorne runs a yard in decent form this season with 24 winners to his name, and he clearly saw enough ability in his charge to believe another win would come. The trainer's earlier notes painted a picture of a horse still learning his trade, green but well-bred, with room to improve as he progressed from his initial races into higher company.

What makes Excellent Believe's recent form harder to explain is the consistency of his top-3 finishes — he has managed three in his last six races — yet none have converted to victories. He sits on a career earnings record of £74,000, respectable for a horse of his age but not enough to mark him out as an elite prospect. Still active and racing regularly, he remains in contention to add to that total, though the 14-month drought since his last win at Haydock suggests he may need a change of luck, or a different race setup, to get back to the winner's circle.

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Oct
10th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 21 runners
26 Sep
3rd
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Yielding · 11 runners
12 Sep
7th
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Good · 21 runners
4 Jul
13th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
17 Jun
27th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 30 runners
10 May
3rd
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 8 runners
28 Mar
3rd
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 5 runners
6 Sep
2nd
Haydock Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
9 Aug
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
12 Jul
6th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 6 Sep 50%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 12 Sep 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 2 other 17 Oct 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 win 27 Jun 100%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 9 May 100%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 second 17 Mar 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 12 Jul 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 28 Mar 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Jul 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 third 26 Sep 0%