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Excellent Believe

There is something quietly compelling about a horse that keeps showing up. Excellent Believe has raced ten times, won three of them, and placed in seven — meaning it has finished in the money in every single race it has entered. That is not luck. That is a horse that consistently does its job.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Lambeth Walk
Owner
Jaber Abdullah
Rating
103

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
10
Career races
3
Wins
30%
Win rate
avg ~10%
70%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The four-year-old made its first real statement at Nottingham in May 2025, breaking through for a first career win. Jack Channon, who trains out of West Ilsley in Berkshire, had already flagged the horse's potential back in April — noting that a debut second at Wolverhampton came against what looked like an above-average rival from Sir Mark Prescott's yard, and that the greenness on show was something a young horse grows out of. He was right. Excellent Believe has since won three times, with the most recent success coming at Haydock Park in August 2025.

What stands out most is how effective Excellent Believe is when racing over seven furlongs to a mile — that sweet spot where a horse needs both pace and stamina to see things out. At that distance range, the record reads two wins from four races, a 50% win rate. Winning half your races at any distance is exceptional; doing it consistently at the trips that suit you best is what separates a reliable performer from a one-hit wonder.

The wider yard is in strong form too, with Jack Channon sending out 46 winners this season alone — a training operation clearly firing on all cylinders. That context matters: well-managed horses in well-managed yards tend not to be overraced or mishandled, and Excellent Believe's record bears that out. Recent form has been patchier — finishing 13th and 27th in its last two runs — but with the horse still active, having raced just yesterday, there is evidently still plenty to play for. The team clearly believes there is more to come, and on the evidence of what this horse has already done over its preferred trip, it is hard to argue.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 50% win rate

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Jul
13th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
17 Jun
27th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 30 runners
10 May
3rd
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 8 runners
28 Mar
3rd
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 5 runners
6 Sep
2nd
Haydock Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
9 Aug
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
12 Jul
6th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners
27 Jun
🏆 Won
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
9 May
🏆 Won
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
17 Mar
2nd
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 6 Sep 50%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 9 May 100%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 win 27 Jun 100%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 third 10 May 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 12 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Jun 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Jul 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 second 17 Mar 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 28 Mar 0%