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Esticky End

There is something quietly stubborn about Esticky End that keeps it relevant in the conversation. An 8-year-old with 39 races under its belt, it has won 3 of them — that works out to roughly 1 in every 13 races — and has found the frame a further 6 times. Those numbers are modest, but they tell the story of a horse that keeps turning up, keeps competing, and occasionally delivers.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Estidhkaar
Mother
Hay Now
Owner
Stephen McGuinness
Rating
72

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
39
Career races
3
Wins
7.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
15.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The most recent win came at Dundalk in December 2024, which is now about 18 months ago and counting, with nothing in the last 6 races to suggest another is imminent. Recent form reads as a string of mid-pack finishes — fifths and sixths — and a couple of blank runs mixed in. It raced just one day ago, so this is very much a horse still in active service, still being asked the question. The answer just hasn't been yes for a while.

What the record does reveal is that Esticky End has a clear preference for certain conditions. On normal ground it has won 2 of 15 races, which is 13% — not spectacular, but meaningfully better than its overall average. More interesting still is what happens when it runs over seven furlongs to a mile: 2 wins from 6 races, which is 1 in every 3. That is a striking number for a horse whose general record is so much thinner, and it suggests there is a version of Esticky End — the right trip, the right ground — that is genuinely competitive. The challenge for trainer Tom McGuinness is finding that combination often enough. His yard has sent out just one winner this season, so it is a relatively quiet operation overall.

Regular jockey Dylan Robinson has ridden the horse 8 times without getting it to the line first, which is a frustrating partnership on paper. Esticky End tends to line up at Class 6, the entry level of British racing, where it has won 2 from 11. That context matters: this is not a horse competing for big prizes, but it is not supposed to be. It is a seasoned, workmanlike competitor that earns its keep at the grassroots of the sport, and on its day — particularly at that ideal trip on a decent surface — it is still capable of winning a race.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 15 starts (13%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 33% win rate
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 14% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 11 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M6F – 2M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 May
DNF
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
16 May
DNF
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
26 Dec
5th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 23 runners
12 Dec
6th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 17 runners
27 Nov
5th
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 16 runners
16 Oct
DNF
Thurles
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 21 runners
2 Oct
DNF
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
23 Apr
9th
Gowran Park
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 10 runners
13 Apr
9th
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 14 runners
6 Apr
DNF
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Dylan Robinson Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/8
Won / Rode
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Patrick M O'Brien
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Calum Hogan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Shane Markey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Ben Curtis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
5 1 win, 1 second, 3 other 12 Dec 20%
Tramore
Sharp
4 4 other 30 May 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
3 3 other 23 Apr 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
3 3 other 2 Oct 0%
Wexford
Sharp
3 3 other 16 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
3 3 other 20 Jan 0%
Beverley
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 26 Jul 50%
Ayr
Galloping
2 2 other 24 May 0%
Thurles
Undulating
2 2 other 27 Nov 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 win 30 May 100%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Dec 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Jun 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Apr 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Apr 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 27 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Oct 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Jun 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 14 May 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 24 Feb 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Aug 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Jun 0%