Win rate and top-3 rate will show once this horse has raced.
What matters now is what Erico does on the track. First-time runners are always a lottery — some arrive fully tuned and ready to win; others need the race and come good later. The only useful fact is that O'Brien's yard is in exceptional form, so Erico will have been given every chance to be competitive. Whether that translates to a winning debut remains to be seen.