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Empirical

Empirical is a three-year-old still finding its feet but showing real promise on the surface it clearly prefers. The horse has won two of its seven career races so far, hitting the target roughly once in every three outings, with a solid record of five places alongside those victories. What stands out is how dramatically the horse thrives on fast, dry ground: it has won two of just three races on those conditions, a win rate of roughly two in every three races. Switch to slower ground and the record tells a different story—that's where the struggles appear.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kingman
Mother
Hidden Breeze
Trainer
Owner
Tbt Racing
Rating
80

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
7
Career races
2
Wins
28.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
71.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The horse last raced just a day ago and won, following a victory at Ayr four weeks earlier. That win on 27 July was Empirical's second career success, and the recent outing suggests the horse is still in good form and active. In its last six races, it has won two and placed twice, which shows genuine consistency in a three-year-old still learning the game. The earlier career breakthrough came at Nottingham in July, so this is a horse that has clicked into gear over the summer.

Ed Walker's yard in Upper Lambourn is one of the stronger training operations, having sent out 76 winners already this season. With that kind of support behind it and a clear preference for the kind of quick, firm ground that makes racing fast and honest, Empirical looks like a horse worth following—especially on days when the sun has been shining and the track is firm underfoot.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
26 Aug
2nd
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
27 Jul
🏆 Won
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
2 Jul
🏆 Won
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
9 May
3rd
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners
28 Jan
8th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners
27 Dec
3rd
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners
12 Dec
7th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Nottingham
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 2 Jul 50%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 win 27 Jul 100%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 third 27 Dec 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jan 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 second 26 Aug 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Dec 0%