Emerald Bay
Emerald Bay is a two-year-old that
George Scott's Newmarket yard has high hopes for, and the early signs suggest they are justified. The horse has won 2 of its 8 races and finished second or third another 4 times—a record that translates to 25% wins and consistent form. More tellingly, it has won 2 of its last 6 races, which shows the young horse is still finding its feet but doing so in the right direction. Scott's stable is a serious operation that has already sent out 52 winners this season, so Emerald Bay is surrounded by proven expertise.
Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
J Mitchell Ballylinch Stud
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🏁 Next race
Tomorrow
Pontefract
About 1 mile · Slightly soft ground · 11 runners
→
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
The clearest pattern in Emerald Bay's form is its love of fast, dry ground. On those conditions, the horse has won 2 of 5 races—a 40% win rate that is substantially better than its overall record. This kind of preference is not unusual in racehorses and worth noting for anyone following its progress: when rain comes, expect the horse to struggle. Its wins have come at distances between 7 furlongs and a mile (it has won 2 of 3 races at that range, a 67% record), suggesting it has found its sweet spot in terms of trip length.
Emerald Bay last won at Leicester nearly two months ago, so it is overdue for a return to the winner's enclosure. The horse raced just a day ago and finished sixth, which suggests Scott is keeping it active and will be looking for a race that brings together its preferred conditions—dry ground and a distance in that 7f to 1m window. When those elements align, Emerald Bay has shown it can beat most horses of its age.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 67% win rate
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Likes
Right-handed, tight turns
Likes
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Sep
4th
Beverley
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 6 runners
27 Aug
2nd
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Good · 5 runners
6 Aug
3rd
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
14 Jul
🏆 Won
Leicester
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
4 Jul
🏆 Won
Beverley
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
1 Jun
6th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
23 May
7th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
11 May
10th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Beverley Undulating |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
16 Sep |
50% |
| Windsor Sharp |
2 |
2 other |
1 Jun |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
14 Jul |
100% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
11 May |
0% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
1 |
1 second |
27 Aug |
0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
6 Aug |
0% |