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Ellusive Butterfly

Three wins from nine races is a tidy record for any young horse, but what makes Ellusive Butterfly worth paying attention to is the timing of those wins. This three-year-old has won 2 of its last 6 races, and the most recent came just this week at Carlisle — which means it arrives in any next engagement as a horse in form rather than one chasing it.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Invincible Army
Mother
Gheedaa
Trainer
Owner
Nick Bradley Racing 5 & E Burke

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
9
Career races
3
Wins
33.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
119 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The career numbers tell an encouraging story. Three wins and four placed finishes from nine races means Ellusive Butterfly has finished in the top positions in seven out of nine outings — missing out entirely on a share of the prizes on only two occasions. That kind of consistency is not something every horse manages. A win rate of roughly 1 in every 3 races is genuinely good; plenty of horses run their whole careers without getting close to that figure.

The journey started at Southwell in January 2026, which is where the first win came. Southwell in winter is about as unglamorous as British racing gets — an all-weather track in the East Midlands, often drawing small fields on cold Tuesday afternoons. Winning there is not the stuff of headlines, but it gets a horse's career moving in the right direction. The fact that Ellusive Butterfly has since gone on to win at Carlisle in the summer suggests genuine improvement as the year has progressed.

Behind all of this is trainer K R Burke, based at Coverham in North Yorkshire. Burke's yard has sent out 145 winners already this season — a number that puts it among the busiest and most productive operations in the country. Getting 145 winners in a single season means the team is placing horses well, keeping them healthy, and finding the right opportunities at the right time. A three-year-old with three wins sitting in a yard like that is well positioned to add to its record.

The recent form reads 1-1-7-4-4-2, with the most recent result first. Two wins on the bounce at the top of that sequence, a seventh before that, and a couple of fourths — this is a horse that looked ordinary not long ago and has responded by winning twice in quick succession. Whether that momentum continues is the interesting question, but right now Ellusive Butterfly is a horse that arrives at the track with something to build on.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
24 Jun
🏆 Won
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
5 Jun
🏆 Won
Epsom Downs
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
13 May
7th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 16 runners
1 May
4th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
18 Apr
4th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good · 15 runners
28 Mar
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 6 runners
28 Feb
DNF
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 13 runners
6 Jan
🏆 Won
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners
19 Jun
4th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 6 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 win 6 Jan 100%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 win 24 Jun 100%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 win 5 Jun 100%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 28 Feb 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 19 Jun 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Apr 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 1 May 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 second 28 Mar 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 13 May 0%