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El Gavilan

There is a horse at the moment who absolutely loves a muddy day in Wales, and the numbers behind that love affair are almost comically emphatic. El Gavilan has won all three of his races on very wet, muddy ground — three from three, a perfect record — and all three of those wins have come at Ffos Las, the seaside track in Carmarthenshire. Five races at Ffos Las, three wins. That is not a coincidence; that is a horse who has found his home.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Guignol
Mother
La Jalousie
Owner
C & C Boultbee Brooks
Official rating
111

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
14
Career races
3
Wins
21.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
216 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The five-year-old is trained by Clive Boultbee-Brooks at a small yard in Woolhope, Herefordshire, and this has been a good season for the team — nine winners sent out so far. El Gavilan has been one of their most consistent contributors. His overall record reads three wins and seven places from 14 races, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 5 outings, which is respectable. But strip it back to his last six races and the picture sharpens considerably: three wins, a second place, and only one blank. He has gone from a horse who was finding his feet to one who is genuinely difficult to beat when conditions suit.

Those conditions matter enormously here. On fast, dry ground El Gavilan has not won once. On soft or heavy ground he is unbeaten in three. That is the kind of split that tells a trainer exactly when to run a horse, and Boultbee-Brooks has been getting it right. El Gavilan opened his winning account at Ffos Las in January 2026 and returned there in February to win again, just seven weeks ago. He raced as recently as yesterday, so he is in the thick of an active campaign right now.

Jockey Richard Patrick has been aboard for ten of his 14 races and the pair have won twice together — a 20% win rate, 2 wins from 10 rides, which tracks closely with El Gavilan's overall record. His best performances tend to come over distances between a mile and six furlongs and two miles, where he has won 2 of his 4 races at that range. He competes mostly at Class 4 level, the solid middle tier of British racing, and has won 2 of 7 races there. The formula is becoming clear: Ffos Las, a wet forecast, and somewhere between a mile and three-quarters and two miles, and El Gavilan is the one to beat.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on heavy ground: 3 wins from 3 starts (100%)
✔ Course specialist at Ffos Las: 3 wins from 5 starts (60%)
✔ Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 50% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Apr
DNF
Ffos Las
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
16 Mar
5th
Ffos Las
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
20 Feb
🏆 Won
Ffos Las
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 6 runners
30 Jan
🏆 Won
Ffos Las
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 8 runners
8 Jan
🏆 Won
Ffos Las
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 8 runners
1 Jan
2nd
Windsor
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
3 Dec
7th
Ludlow
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
11 Nov
11th
hereford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
22 Oct
DNF
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
23 Apr
5th
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Richard Patrick Current jockey
20%
Win rate
2/10
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
Ned Fox
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ffos Las
Galloping
5 3 wins, 2 other 12 Apr 60%
Ludlow
Undulating
2 1 third, 1 other 3 Dec 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 other 12 Dec 0%
Fontwell Park
Tight
1 1 second 26 Dec 0%
Taunton
Undulating
1 1 other 23 Apr 0%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Oct 0%
hereford 1 1 other 11 Nov 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 second 1 Jan 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 second 10 Mar 0%