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El Burhan

El Burhan has the look of a horse still finding his level. At 4 years old, he has won 4 of his 13 races — a win rate of roughly 1 win in every 3 starts — and the pattern of his victories suggests he performs best when conditions and distance align perfectly. His two Class 2 wins, at Chester in May 2025 and Ayr in September 2025, came on ground with some give in it, the kind of surface that suits him. On normal or slightly soft ground, he wins at a 67% clip — 2 wins from 3 races — which is genuinely impressive form. Over distances between 7 furlongs and a mile, where he has won 3 of his 5 races, he looks to have found his sweet spot too.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
New Bay
Mother
Sar Oiche
Owner
Shadwell Estate Company Ltd
Official rating
101

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
13
Career races
4
Wins
30.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
46.2%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
30 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What's most interesting is his record with Jim Crowley. The jockey has ridden him 6 times and won 3 of those races — a 50% win rate together. That kind of partnership matters, and it suggests there's genuine understanding between rider and horse. His trainer George Boughey, based at Newmarket and a handler who has sent out 99 winners this season alone, clearly believes in him. After Ayr, Boughey noted that the horse had taken time to settle after a disappointing run at Ascot, but that the trip had suited him and the ground had been key. Crowley, for his part, observed that El Burhan is a big horse and they have not yet found the bottom of what he can do — a telling comment from a rider who senses there is more to come.

That said, his recent form has been patchy. In his last six races, he has managed only one win, placed twice, and failed to trouble the frame three times. He raced just 1 day ago, so he remains active in the yard's plans. The gap between his last win at Ayr in September 2025 and now — nearly a year — is a long stretch without a victory. For all the encouraging signs when conditions suit, El Burhan is the kind of horse who needs the planets to align: the right distance, the right ground, the right jockey, and the right race. When they do, he can win. When they don't, he tends to disappoint.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
✔ Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 60% win rate
✔ Strong overall win rate: wins 31% of races
✔ Effective partnership with Jim Crowley: 50% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
19 Sep
6th
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 7 runners
21 Aug
8th
Hamilton Park
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
6 Aug
3rd
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 13 runners
8 May
4th
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 14 runners
28 Mar
5th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners
18 Sep
🏆 Won
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
30 Aug
9th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
21 Jun
13th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
8 May
🏆 Won
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 9 runners
1 Aug
3rd
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
50%
Win rate
3/6
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Chester
Tight
3 1 win, 2 other 8 May 33.3%
Ayr
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 19 Sep 50%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 win 27 May 100%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 win 6 Jul 100%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jun 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Mar 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 third 1 Aug 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 19 May 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Aug 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 third 6 Aug 0%