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Earnest Belief

Earnest Belief is a 4-year-old horse that has yet to win a race despite showing real consistency. Over 12 career runs, the horse has finished in the places—third or fourth—six times but has never crossed the line first. That's a tough stat to live with, and it tells you something important: this is a horse that runs respectably but never quite gets there when it counts.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Mastercraftsman
Mother
Promise Me
Owner
Blackhurst Racing
Official rating
103

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
12
Career races
0
Wins
0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
39 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The recent form is telling. In the last six races, Earnest Belief has been placed in five of them—mostly thirds and a couple of fourths—with just one unplaced run mixed in. That's not the record of a horse going backwards; it's one that keeps turning up and doing a solid job, just not quite good enough to win. Racing at Class 4 level, the horse has had six chances at this grade and hasn't broken through, which suggests this is about where its ceiling is. The trainer, Donald McCain, runs a strong yard out of Cholmondeley in Cheshire and has sent out 55 winners this season, so Earnest Belief is in competent hands. What it needs now is a break in its favour—a race where the pace suits, where the opposition slips slightly, where things finally go right. It raced just a day ago, so it's clearly still in the mix and being given chances. Whether Earnest Belief will ever find the winning post remains to be seen, but the consistency is there to build on.

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
9 Sep
4th
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
22 Jul
3rd
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
1 Jul
3rd
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
23 May
3rd
Bangor-on-Dee
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
2 May
4th
Hexham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
22 Mar
3rd
Carlisle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
20 Nov
4th
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 10 runners
8 Nov
8th
Wolverhampton
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 11 runners
30 Jul
4th
Sandown Park
1m6f – 2m · Good · 6 runners
20 Jun
2nd
Goodwood
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
Theo Gillard Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Luke Catton
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Worcester
Galloping
2 2 thirds 22 Jul 0%
Hexham
Undulating
1 1 other 2 May 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 4 May 0%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 third 23 May 0%
Sedgefield
Sharp
1 1 other 9 Sep 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 second 20 Jun 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Nov 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Nov 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 third 22 Mar 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 third 30 May 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Jul 0%