The real story lies in the recent uptick. After some forgettable runs over the summer, Dapper Guest has found form again, winning 2 of its last 6 races and finishing in the top 3 another twice. The most recent victory came at Epsom Downs five weeks ago, suggesting the horse is still sharp and capable of stringing together winning efforts. Jockey J F Egan has ridden it to victory 3 times from 8 races together — a 38% win rate that towers above the horse's overall 19% win rate — implying real chemistry between rider and mount.
Ground conditions matter to this horse more than most. On normal or slightly soft ground, Dapper Guest is noticeably sharper, winning half of its races (3 wins from 9) on those surfaces. On faster, drier ground, the win rate drops considerably, a pattern worth remembering for punters and trainers alike. At Class 4 level — solid but not elite company — it has managed 2 wins from 8 races, suggesting a horse that has found its ceiling but can still deliver when conditions align. With Egan in the saddle, ground conditions favourable, and recent form holding, Dapper Guest remains a horse with live chances in its bracket.
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmarket Galloping |
10 | 1 win, 9 other | 26 Sep | 10% |
| Ascot Galloping |
3 | 3 other | 24 Jul | 0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
3 | 3 other | 28 May | 0% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
2 | 2 wins | 10 Sep | 100% |
| Southwell Galloping |
2 | 1 win, 1 other | 30 Oct | 50% |
| Leicester Sharp |
2 | 2 other | 13 Oct | 0% |
| chelmsford | 1 | 1 win | 9 Oct | 100% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 3 Dec | 0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 28 Apr | 0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 12 Aug | 0% |
| Brighton Undulating |
1 | 1 third | 23 Aug | 0% |