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Dancing Steve

There is a horse in Adrian McGuinness's yard in Lusk, County Dublin, that has made a habit of making people wait. Dancing Steve has won just 2 races from 26 outings — that's roughly 1 in every 13 — and has gone the last six races without troubling the winner's enclosure, with recent finishes of 10th, 13th, 13th, 13th, 14th, and 6th that paint a picture of a horse currently struggling to find its best form.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Highland Reel
Mother
Helen Of Albany
Owner
Breen White
Rating
65

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
26
Career races
2
Wins
7.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
30.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That said, there are reasons to stay interested. When Dancing Steve does click, it tends to happen on normal ground conditions — 2 wins from 14 races on that surface, meaning it wins about 1 in every 7 times conditions suit. That's a meaningful improvement on its overall record, and it suggests the horse has genuine preferences rather than just being inconsistent at random. The sweet spot in terms of distance also seems to sit around a mile and a furlong to a mile and two furlongs, where it has won 1 from 5 races — a 20% win rate, or roughly 1 in every 5 — which is a solid return for any horse at any level.

Regular rider Adam Caffrey has been in the saddle for 12 of its 26 races and has partnered it to 1 win together, which mirrors the horse's overall record almost exactly. The most recent success came at Navan on 13 July 2025, so that winning feeling is not ancient history, even if it feels distant given the six blanks that have followed. The first win arrived at Tipperary in September 2024, meaning Dancing Steve has at least shown it can find the line first at two different tracks.

At five years old and still racing — it ran just yesterday — Dancing Steve is very much a work in progress. McGuinness has had a productive season with 45 winners from his yard, so the infrastructure for success is clearly there. Whether Dancing Steve can rediscover the form that brought those two wins, particularly if it finds normal ground at a distance that suits, is the question worth watching.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 14 starts (14%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Yet to win at Dundalk in 7 attempts
Yet to win at Down Royal in 6 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 11 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Jul
10th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 13 runners
24 Jun
13th
Naas
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 18 runners
26 Sep
13th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
5 Sep
13th
Down Royal
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 17 runners
23 Aug
14th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 14 runners
31 Jul
6th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners
13 Jul
🏆 Won
Navan
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 5 runners
12 Jul
2nd
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 15 runners
21 Jun
2nd
Down Royal
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 15 runners
5 Jun
9th
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 18 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
8.3%
Win rate
1/12
Won / Rode
Cian MacRedmond
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Sam Coen Current Jockey
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Conor Cusack
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
7 3 seconds, 1 third, 3 other 12 Jul 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
6 1 second, 1 third, 4 other 5 Sep 0%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 24 Jun 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Jun 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 23 Aug 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 win 1 Sep 100%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 win 13 Jul 100%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Aug 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 21 May 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Jul 0%