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Dancing Steve

Dancing Steve has taken a while to deliver results, but when the ground is right and the distance suits, this five-year-old can find the winner's circle. His career win rate sits at 3 wins from 32 races — roughly 1 in every 10 outings — but the telling detail is what happens on normal ground. There, his record jumps to 3 wins from 16 races, winning nearly 1 in 5 times he runs on those conditions. That is a material difference, and it suggests the horse has a real preference.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Highland Reel
Mother
Helen Of Albany
Owner
Breen White
Official rating
61

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
32
Career races
3
Wins
9.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
31.2%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
2 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Trained by Adrian McGuinness at Lusk in County Dublin, Dancing Steve arrived at his breakthrough moment late in his career, securing his first win at Tipperary in early September 2024. He has since added two more victories, most recently at Down Royal six weeks ago. That win shows he is still capable on his day, even if recent form reads inconsistently — his last six races show a sixth-place finish, a win outside the placings, and then top-3 finishes among middling efforts. Adam Caffrey has been his regular rider, though their partnership has yielded just 1 win from 12 races together, suggesting the horse may perform better for different jockeys or simply that luck has not favoured them as a pair.

Distance appears important too. Between 1 mile 1 furlong and 1 mile 2 furlongs, Dancing Steve has won 1 from 7 races — a 14% win rate that outperforms his overall numbers. The McGuinness yard has been prolific this season with 45 winners, so the horse is in a stable firing on all cylinders. Currently active with a race just yesterday, Dancing Steve remains a willing competitor even if he remains very much a horse who needs the conditions to break his way.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 16 starts (19%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 14% win rate
✔ Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 14% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 10 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Dundalk in 9 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
1M6F – 2M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Oct
6th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
30 Sep
12th
Bellewstown
1m6f – 2m · Soft_To_Heavy · 13 runners
4 Sep
🏆 Won
Down Royal
1m6f – 2m · Good · 17 runners
15 Aug
3rd
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
6 Aug
8th
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 25 runners
20 Jul
10th
Ballinrobe
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Yielding · 13 runners
12 Jul
10th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 13 runners
24 Jun
13th
Naas
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 18 runners
26 Sep
13th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
5 Sep
13th
Down Royal
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 17 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Adam Caffrey Current jockey
8.3%
Win rate
1/12
Wins / rides
Cian MacRedmond
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
Sam Coen
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Conor Cusack
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
9 3 seconds, 2 thirds, 4 other 16 Oct 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
7 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 4 other 4 Sep 14.3%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 24 Jun 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Jun 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 23 Aug 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 2 other 6 Aug 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 win 13 Jul 100%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 win 1 Sep 100%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 20 Jul 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 other 30 Sep 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Aug 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 21 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Jul 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%