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Croagh Patrick

Croagh Patrick is the horse that refuses to quite make it but somehow keeps earning. At eleven years old, the horse has won just three of its forty-four races—a modest 7% win rate—yet has been placed in twenty-two others. What matters, though, is where those victories came. Two of them have come at Carlisle, where the horse is genuinely dangerous: win 2 from 7 runs there, which is nearly three times better than its overall record. The most recent of those Carlisle wins came on 15 December 2024, suggesting this is not a horse in decline but one that, when conditions align, can still deliver.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
11 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Mountain High
Mother
Benedicta Rose
Owner
R J Hewitt
Official rating
72

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
44
Career races
3
Wins
6.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
16 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The real story here is the gap between what Croagh Patrick achieves on paper and what it means in practice. The horse typically competes in Class 5 races and wins about one in every nine of those outings, which is respectable. It earned a Class 2 victory at Carlisle back in March 2022—one of the top races in Britain—and has banked over £50,000 in prize money despite that tiny win rate. According to the trainer, the owner is genuinely proud of this: a horse rated below 100 by the handicapper, yet earning more than fifty grand, is unusual. It speaks to a horse that finishes second constantly, grinding away and placing without breaking through.

Jonathan England, the horse's most regular rider, has won just once from twenty-seven races on its back—a 4% partnership. The trainer describes Croagh Patrick as frustrating in the best possible way: it runs the same race over any distance, it keeps finishing second, but every time you think you know how to win, something changes. A good, fast-run race at Carlisle seems to suit it best—two and a half miles or more is the minimum distance to play to its strengths. Last raced just a day ago, after a period out with a chip removed from a front fetlock, Croagh Patrick remains active and hunting for another day like those December and March victories when everything clicks.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 9 starts (11%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Sedgefield in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 10 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Good (a little give)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Oct
6th
Hexham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
14 Sep
5th
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
28 Aug
5th
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
28 Jun
DNF
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
13 Jun
2nd
Hexham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
23 May
7th
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
13 Mar
DNF
Hexham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
3 Feb
9th
Carlisle
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 15 runners
31 Dec
DNF
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
15 Dec
🏆 Won
Carlisle
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
3.7%
Win rate
1/27
Wins / rides
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
Lewis Stones
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
David England
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Hexham
Undulating
10 1 win, 3 seconds, 1 third, 5 other 2 Oct 10%
Carlisle
Undulating
7 2 wins, 3 seconds, 2 other 3 Feb 28.6%
Sedgefield
Sharp
6 1 second, 1 third, 4 other 14 Sep 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
4 2 seconds, 1 third, 1 other 7 Jun 0%
Cartmel
Tight
4 1 second, 3 other 28 Jun 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 31 Dec 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 thirds 9 Feb 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 2 other 31 Oct 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 third 1 Mar 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 second 8 Apr 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 third 12 Dec 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Dec 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 28 Dec 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Oct 0%