Coxy's Star

The recent form tells a story of someone finding their feet. A second-place finish last time out before the victory this week suggests momentum, and wins roughly 1 in every 8 races overall — not spectacular, but the key number is what happens when Coxy's Star gets the distance right, over which it has won 1 of 4 races, a win rate of 25 percent. That is a significant jump from the baseline, meaning the trainer knows exactly what this horse needs. William Muir and Chris Grassick, who run their yard from Lambourn in Berkshire, have sent out 20 winners already this season, so they know how to get horses to the line. Wolverhampton, where Coxy's Star won on 13 October, is clearly a place where this horse runs well. For a three-year-old still learning the ropes, a maiden win is the breakthrough moment, and this one came at exactly the right time.