Cotai Belle
Cotai Belle is a three-year-old carrying the hopes of the Fahey yard at Musley Bank, though recent months have been a frustrating stretch of near-misses rather than the breakthrough wins the horse showed promise of earlier this year. The horse has won just 2 of its 15 races — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 7 outings — but what's more telling is that those victories came in the first weeks of summer and nothing has landed since. The last race, just yesterday, continued a difficult pattern: ninth place, following a sequence of runners-up and third-place finishes in the last six runs.Based on TrackLab's analysis
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
The real story here is how much Cotai Belle seems to thrive at certain tracks and falter at others. A debut winner at Wetherby in early June and then a second success at Haydock Park a month later suggested a horse finding its rhythm. But when Cotai Belle has stepped up to Class 2 company — the highest level the record shows — the results have been bleak: no wins from three attempts. This is the kind of detail that matters. It hints that Cotai Belle may have a ceiling, that the races it won were at a more modest level, and that the step up to better horses has proved too steep so far. Fifteen months without a win is a long drought for any horse, and the cluster of second and third-place finishes recently suggests Cotai Belle is running well enough to threaten but not quite sharp enough to finish the job.
The Fahey yard itself is having a decent season with 23 winners to its name, so there is experience and resource in the corner. Whether Cotai Belle can rediscover that touch from July 2025 and string together another win — or whether this three-year-old has simply peaked — will be the question the team faces in the coming weeks.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
19 Sep
9th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Heavy · 14 runners
5 Sep
3rd
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
20 Aug
4th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 21 runners
22 Jul
2nd
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
9 Jul
2nd
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
12 Jun
2nd
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
17 May
2nd
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
16 Apr
8th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
4 Oct
9th
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners
21 Aug
21th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
| York Galloping |
3 |
1 second, 2 other |
20 Aug |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
22 Jul |
0% |
| Ripon Sharp |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
17 May |
0% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 third |
5 Sep |
0% |
| Wetherby Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
2 Jun |
100% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
4 Jul |
100% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
4 Oct |
0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
19 Sep |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
19 Jul |
0% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
1 |
1 second |
9 Jul |
0% |