UK time :

Confucius

Confucius remains a work in progress at two years old, with just one win from five races but enough encouraging signs to suggest there is more to come. Trained by Aidan O'Brien at Cashel, the horse won on debut at Naas in May and has since added two top-3 finishes, though recent form has been patchy. The last five races tell a mixed story: a fourth place, then seventh, then third, then sixth, and finally a win that now feels distant at five months old. That victory at Naas remains the highlight so far, but the inconsistency since suggests the horse is still finding its feet at this level.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
2 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Brown
Father
No Nay Never
Mother
Millisle
Trainer
Aidan O'Brien
Owner
Westerbergmagniertaborsmithbrant

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
5
Career races
1
Wins
20%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
1 day
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Being trained by O'Brien carries weight — the yard has sent out 125 winners already this season — but Confucius is clearly not among the yard's standout two-year-olds. A 20% win rate (1 win from 5 races) is respectable for a young horse, and the presence of two other top-3 finishes shows it can run well on its day. The question now is whether recent form — a sixth-place finish most recently, before that only a seventh — represents growing pains or a loss of form. At two years old, horses are still developing, and small improvements in fitness or understanding can make a real difference. What Confucius needs is a run to rebuild momentum, and with racing activity still happening, that opportunity may come soon.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Oct
4th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
26 Sep
7th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
18 Jul
3rd 1%
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
16 Jun
6th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
9 May
🏆 Won 1%
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
2 2 other 17 Oct 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 win 9 May 100%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 third 18 Jul 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Sep 0%