Confucius
Confucius remains a work in progress at two years old, with just one win from five races but enough encouraging signs to suggest there is more to come. Trained by Aidan O'Brien at Cashel, the horse won on debut at Naas in May and has since added two top-3 finishes, though recent form has been patchy. The last five races tell a mixed story: a fourth place, then seventh, then third, then sixth, and finally a win that now feels distant at five months old. That victory at Naas remains the highlight so far, but the inconsistency since suggests the horse is still finding its feet at this level.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
Westerbergmagniertaborsmithbrant
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
Being trained by O'Brien carries weight — the yard has sent out 125 winners already this season — but Confucius is clearly not among the yard's standout two-year-olds. A 20% win rate (1 win from 5 races) is respectable for a young horse, and the presence of two other top-3 finishes shows it can run well on its day. The question now is whether recent form — a sixth-place finish most recently, before that only a seventh — represents growing pains or a loss of form. At two years old, horses are still developing, and small improvements in fitness or understanding can make a real difference. What Confucius needs is a run to rebuild momentum, and with racing activity still happening, that opportunity may come soon.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Oct
4th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
26 Sep
7th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
18 Jul
3rd
1%
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
16 Jun
6th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
9 May
🏆 Won
1%
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
| Ascot Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
17 Oct |
0% |
| Naas Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
9 May |
100% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
18 Jul |
0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
26 Sep |
0% |