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Condotti

Condotti is a 4-year-old that has finally broken its duck this week, landing a first career win at Haydock Park after 15 unsuccessful races. The breakthrough came at exactly the right distance — the horse has now won 1 of 7 races around 1 mile 3 furlongs to 1 mile 4 furlongs, a sweet spot that suggests the yard have identified where it runs best. That win rate of roughly 1 in 7 at this distance is promising enough to think there could be more wins to come, provided the horse stays in that yardage.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Soldier's Call
Mother
Fast Pick
Owner
Mrs P Good
Official rating
63

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
17
Career races
1
Wins
5.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
41.2%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
10 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Hugo Palmer's yard at Malpas in Cheshire has been in excellent form this season with 67 winners already, and Condotti is beginning to repay the patience shown by the trainer. The horse has gathered seven places alongside that solitary win from 16 races, which means it has been competitive without quite delivering — until now. Recent form shows a second place, a fifth, another second, and a third, which suggests the horse has been knocking on the door. The ninth place in its most recent outing before this week's win was a blip, but the victory at Haydock last time out indicates the upward curve has started.

What does stand out, though, is that Condotti has never won in six attempts at Class 5 level, the grade where it typically races. That is a concern worth noting, suggesting the Haydock win may have come in easier circumstances, though without knowing the exact race conditions, it is hard to judge how significant that is. Still, the horse is active and racing regularly, and now that the monkey is off its back, there is genuine reason to think better days lie ahead — especially if Palmer can keep finding races at the right distance.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
✔ Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 12% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Oct
8th
Bath
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 11 runners
25 Sep
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
11 Sep
2nd
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
4 Aug
5th
Ffos Las
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 10 runners
6 Jul
2nd
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 12 runners
10 Jun
3rd
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
29 May
9th
Carlisle
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners
18 Oct
4th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
4 Oct
11th
Redcar
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
20 Sep
6th
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
David Probert Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 25 Sep 33.3%
Chester
Tight
3 1 second, 2 other 11 Sep 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 4 Aug 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Sep 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Oct 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 29 May 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 third 10 Jun 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 second 6 Jul 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 8 Oct 0%