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Commanche Falls

There is something both admirable and quietly melancholy about Commanche Falls. This nine-year-old has won four times from 40 races — that's 1 in every 10 races across a long career — and three of those wins came at the very top level of British racing. Not bad for a horse who typically finds itself in the thick of competitive Class 2 races, where it has won just once from 23 attempts, or fewer than 1 in 20. The gap between where this horse usually competes and what it has actually achieved tells you something interesting: Commanche Falls is, on its best days, a genuinely elite sprinter. The problem is those days have become rarer.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Brown
Father
Lethal Force
Mother
Joyeaux
Owner
Doug Graham, Ian Davison, Alan Drysdale
Rating
97

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
40
Career races
4
Wins
10%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The peak came in a purple patch during the summer and autumn of 2023. Wins at Newbury and York in Class 1 races — the very highest grade British racing offers — marked Commanche Falls out as a horse capable of beating the best. Those are not flukes. You do not win twice at that level without real quality. The first career win had come a year earlier at Goodwood in a strong Class 2 race, and it was Goodwood again that set the tone: a beautiful, undulating track on the South Downs that rewards horses with a certain style and courage.

The partnership with jockey Connor Beasley has been the constant throughout. Beasley has been in the saddle for 34 of its 40 races, and all four wins have come with him aboard — winning 4 from those 34 rides together, or roughly 1 in every 8 or 9 races. That kind of loyalty between horse and rider matters. They know each other.

Trainer Michael Dods runs a busy and productive yard up in Piercebridge, County Durham — 43 winners sent out this season alone — and Commanche Falls remains part of that string at nine years old. But the recent form makes for difficult reading: finishes of 7, 9, 12, 9, 2, and 7 across the last six races, with that solitary second place the only glimmer. The last win came 35 months ago at York. The horse raced just yesterday, which shows the team have not given up.

Whether another moment like September 2023 is coming is the open question. At nine, with a Class 1 win already on its record, Commanche Falls has earned its reputation. What it needs now is to rediscover the form that once made it one of the best sprinters in Britain.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Doncaster in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Good to firm (drying out)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Loves
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Jul
7th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
11 Oct
9th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
20 Sep
12th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Soft · 25 runners
14 Sep
9th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 17 runners
23 Aug
2nd
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
2 Aug
7th
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 28 runners
18 Jul
8th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
19 Jun
6th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
5 Jun
2nd
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
14 May
10th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
11.8%
Win rate
4/34
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Phil Dennis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
York
Galloping
9 1 win, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 4 other 11 Oct 11.1%
Doncaster
Galloping
5 1 second, 4 other 14 Sep 0%
Ayr
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 20 Sep 0%
Ascot
Galloping
4 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 4 Oct 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 30 Jun 33.3%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 17 Jul 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 2 Aug 50%
Newbury
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 20 Jul 50%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 18 Apr 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 third 8 Jun 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 31 Aug 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 19 Jun 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 4 Jun 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%