Coincidental Glory
Coincidental Glory is a 3-year-old with a single win to show from 21 career races, but that one victory tells you something worth knowing: the horse can get the job done over the distances it likes best. That win came at Dundalk in December, a track and ground combination where this horse has thrived more than anywhere else. Over 7 furlongs to a mile — the sweet spot for distance — it has won 1 of 8 races, a win rate of roughly 12 percent, which is respectable enough to suggest those are the races to watch. Everything else has been a place, which speaks to a horse that runs respectably but rarely finds that extra gear to win.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Owner
Cyril Mcmullan J Fairhurst
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
47.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
The recent form is telling. In its last six outings the horse has finished 13th, then 4th, 9th, 2nd, 3rd, and 6th — a pattern of near-misses and modest efforts that shows it can be competitive but is not at the races most days. It raced just yesterday, so the yard are keeping it active and looking for the right opening. Adam Caffrey, its main rider, has never managed to get it into the winner's circle in eight attempts together, which might suggest a mismatch or simply that the horse has not run well when he has been aboard. Nine months have passed since that December win at Dundalk, which is a long drought for a horse with so few victories to its name. Trainer Adrian McGuinness runs a yard at Lusk that has been productive this season with 45 winners, so there is clearly skill there to find the right race for horses on the fringes of form. The question for Coincidental Glory is whether it can find another winning opportunity soon, or whether that sole victory remains its only moment in the sun.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 12% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at The Curragh in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
29 Aug
13th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 21 runners
22 Aug
4th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 31 runners
27 Jul
9th
Galway
7f – 1m · Yielding · 15 runners
11 Jul
2nd
Navan
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
19 Jun
3rd
Limerick
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
12 Jun
6th
Fairyhouse
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
3 Jun
4th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Yielding · 21 runners
23 May
DNF
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
11 May
5th
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
27 Apr
DNF
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| The Curragh Galloping |
6 |
1 third, 5 other |
29 Aug |
0% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
5 |
1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 2 other |
17 Dec |
20% |
| Naas Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
27 Apr |
0% |
| Roscommon Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
11 May |
0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
17 Jul |
0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
1 |
1 second |
8 Apr |
0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
12 Jun |
0% |
| Sligo Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
6 Aug |
0% |
| Galway Tight |
1 |
1 other |
27 Jul |
0% |
| Navan Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
11 Jul |
0% |
| Limerick Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
19 Jun |
0% |