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Coincidental Glory

There is a horse that takes its time — and then, when the moment finally arrives, makes you wonder why it took so long. Coincidental Glory is a 3-year-old trained by Adrian McGuinness out of Lusk in County Dublin, a yard that has been in fine fettle this season with 39 winners on the board. The horse itself has been a rather more patient project.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Cotai Glory
Mother
Coincidently
Owner
Total Recall Racing Club & J Fairhurst & Cyril McMullan
Rating
71

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
14
Career races
1
Wins
7.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
57.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
Curragh
About 6 furlongs · Slightly soft ground · 21 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Across 14 races, Coincidental Glory has managed 1 win and 8 places — a win rate of around 1 in every 14 outings, which tells you this is a horse that shows up and competes without ever quite seizing the moment. Eight places from 14 races is actually a decent haul; it means the horse has finished in the money more than half the time, which speaks to consistency even if the winners' enclosure has remained largely off-limits. Think of it like a footballer who is always in the right position but rarely pulls the trigger.

That one win came at Dundalk on 17 December 2025 — an all-weather track in County Louth that tends to suit horses who find their rhythm in a steady, contained contest. The win came over a distance of between seven furlongs and a mile, where Coincidental Glory has its best record: 1 win from 6 races at that range, or winning roughly 1 in 6 at a trip that clearly suits. The horse raced again just one day ago, which means it is right in the middle of an active campaign with the yard clearly keen to keep it busy.

What stands out — and not entirely flatteringly — is the record with regular jockey Adam Caffrey: 0 wins from 7 races together. That is not necessarily a criticism of either horse or rider; plenty of partnerships take time, and Caffrey has steered Coincidental Glory to several of those eight places. But it does mean the only win this horse has managed came without its most frequent partner in the saddle, which is a curious little footnote. Recent form shows a mix of placed efforts and quieter runs, but there is enough there — a second and a third among the last six outings — to suggest this is a horse still trying rather than one running out of ideas. At three years old, the story is far from finished.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 17% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 May
DNF
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
11 May
5th
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
27 Apr
DNF
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
8 Apr
2nd
Gowran Park
7f – 1m · Soft · 9 runners
17 Dec
🏆 Won
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 17 runners
10 Dec
3rd
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 17 runners
28 Nov
2nd
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 13 runners
5 Nov
5th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
11 Oct
9th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 14 runners
19 Sep
6th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 17 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
5 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 17 Dec 20%
The Curragh
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 23 May 0%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 27 Apr 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Jul 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 third 6 Aug 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 second 8 Apr 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 11 May 0%