Coincidental Glory
Coincidental Glory is a three-year-old that has found winning nearly impossible since breaking through on the track last December. The horse has managed just one victory from 25 races — a win at Dundalk on 17 December 2025 — and has finished in the top three in 13 of those outings. That single success came 10 months ago, and Coincidental Glory has been unable to land another blow since, failing to win in its last six races. With a win rate of 1 in 25, this is clearly a horse that struggles to get its head in front, though the frequency of top-three finishes suggests it can be competitive at the lower end of the sport.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
Cyril Mcmullan J Fairhurst
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
The horse runs best over distances between seven furlongs and a mile, where it has won 1 of its 8 races at that trip — a respectable 12.5 percent win rate over that specific range. Regular jockey Adam Caffrey has ridden it eight times without a win, and the horse is trained by Adrian McGuinness at Lusk in County Dublin. McGuinness's yard has been busy this season with 45 winners to its name, so the trainer clearly knows how to get horses to the winner's enclosure — just not this one so far. Coincidental Glory raced just a day ago, so it remains an active runner, still looking to rediscover the winning form that arrived briefly last winter.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 12% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at The Curragh in 7 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 10 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
15 Oct
3rd
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Soft · 17 runners
7 Oct
2nd
Navan
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 25 runners
25 Sep
11th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners
21 Sep
3rd
Fairyhouse
5f – 6½f · Good · 18 runners
29 Aug
13th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 21 runners
22 Aug
4th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 31 runners
27 Jul
9th
Galway
7f – 1m · Yielding · 15 runners
11 Jul
2nd
Navan
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
19 Jun
3rd
Limerick
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
12 Jun
6th
Fairyhouse
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| The Curragh Galloping |
7 |
2 thirds, 5 other |
15 Oct |
0% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
6 |
1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 3 other |
25 Sep |
16.7% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
21 Sep |
0% |
| Naas Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
27 Apr |
0% |
| Navan Galloping |
2 |
2 seconds |
7 Oct |
0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
17 Jul |
0% |
| Roscommon Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
11 May |
0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
1 |
1 second |
8 Apr |
0% |
| Limerick Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
19 Jun |
0% |
| Sligo Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
6 Aug |
0% |
| Galway Tight |
1 |
1 other |
27 Jul |
0% |