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Claude

He has won 2 of his 14 races overall—a modest record on the surface, but his current form suggests he is building something genuine. After a run just yesterday, he is clearly being campaigned hard by trainer Sarah Joanna Connell at her Tallow yard.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Father
Caravaggio
Mother
An Cailin Orga
Owner
M A Ryan
Official rating
100

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
14
Career races
2
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
7 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The real story is what happens when the ground suits him. On normal conditions, Claude wins roughly 1 in every 4 races—a 25% win rate that stands out sharply against his 14% overall. This matters because it means he is not a marginal horse grinding out occasional victories; he is genuinely effective on the right surface. His first win came at Wexford in July 2025, but the Cork success this week is the one that counts. It came after a period of honest racing without a breakthrough, and it shows he responds to regular opportunities.

His last six races tell a mixed picture. A win followed by a seventh-place finish and some mid-field efforts suggest he is streaky—capable on his day but not reliable every time out. Connell's yard has been modest this season, sending out just 3 winners, so this is not a powerhouse operation; it makes Claude's recent victory feel more earned. At five years old, he is mature enough to know his own mind but still has time to improve if ground and pace fall his way. For a horse that wins roughly 1 in 7 races overall, finding that edge—keeping him on normal ground and running him frequently—looks like the formula.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Oct
🏆 Won
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
4 Oct
7th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 10 runners
11 Sep
4th
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 19 runners
13 Aug
4th
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
27 Jul
11th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 23 runners
16 Jul
3rd
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners
10 May
11th
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
29 Apr
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 28 runners
27 Oct
7th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 8 runners
5 Oct
6th
Tipperary
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Aidan Kelly Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Peter Smithers(4)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Killarney
Sharp
3 1 third, 2 other 4 Oct 0%
Wexford
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 27 Oct 50%
Cork
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 11 Oct 50%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
2 2 other 11 Sep 0%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 other 13 Aug 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 third 7 Aug 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 27 Jul 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Apr 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Oct 0%