Change Of Fortune
Change Of Fortune is a horse that knows exactly what it takes to win — it just does not happen very often. In a 41-race career, this seven-year-old has managed just one victory, at Ffos Las on 22 June 2025, and that remains the sole highlight of more than a year without a win. That single success came in what is essentially the lowest tier of racing, and even at distances where the horse runs most comfortably — around a mile and one and a quarter to a mile and a quarter — it wins roughly once every 16 attempts. The numbers make the point clearly: Change Of Fortune is a horse built for consistency rather than glory, accumulating 11 places to go with that solitary win, showing up reliably but rarely delivering the goods.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
26.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
Trained by Bernard Llewellyn at Fochriw in Mid Glamorgan, Change Of Fortune continues to race actively — it ran just yesterday — despite its modest record. Llewellyn's yard has had a decent season with 12 winners to its name, but this particular horse represents the unglamorous end of racehorse economics: it is the kind of competitor you send out knowing it will try but accepting that prizes will be thin on the ground. Jordan Williams rides it most often, having partnered the horse nine times without a win between them, which suggests they share a relationship of mutual understated tolerance rather than telepathic harmony.
The bleak span of 14 months without victory, combined with its recent form — unplaced, then places of ninth, third, fourth, eighth and fifth across its last six outings — tells you all you need to know. Change Of Fortune is not lame or unwilling. It is just ordinary, the sort of horse that fills the middle ground of the sport, paying its way through places but rarely troubling the judge in the way owners dream of. It remains at it nonetheless, suggesting either remarkable patience or the simple fact that there is always another race to try.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 6% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 10 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Wolverhampton in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Aug
DNF
Ffos Las
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
15 Jun
9th
Chepstow
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
4 Jun
3rd
Ffos Las
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
25 Mar
4th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
23 Feb
8th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 9 runners
30 Jan
5th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
28 Sep
4th
Ffos Las
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 10 runners
29 Aug
3rd
Ffos Las
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 7 runners
5 Aug
3rd
Ffos Las
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners
31 Jul
4th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Ffos Las Galloping |
12 |
1 win, 1 second, 5 thirds, 5 other |
12 Aug |
8.3% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
6 |
1 second, 5 other |
23 Feb |
0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
4 |
1 second, 3 other |
23 Oct |
0% |
| Bath Undulating |
4 |
4 other |
21 Oct |
0% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
3 |
1 third, 2 other |
31 Jul |
0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
8 Mar |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
13 Jun |
0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
22 Sep |
0% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
29 Aug |
0% |
| Southwell Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
31 Mar |
0% |
| chelmsford |
1 |
1 other |
18 Apr |
0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
25 Mar |
0% |
| Hamilton Park Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
18 Jul |
0% |
| Chepstow Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
15 Jun |
0% |