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Change Of Fortune

Change Of Fortune is a horse that knows exactly what it takes to win — it just does not happen very often. In a 41-race career, this seven-year-old has managed just one victory, at Ffos Las on 22 June 2025, and that remains the sole highlight of more than a year without a win. That single success came in what is essentially the lowest tier of racing, and even at distances where the horse runs most comfortably — around a mile and one and a quarter to a mile and a quarter — it wins roughly once every 16 attempts.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Cityscape
Mother
Secret Dream
Owner
Alan J Williams
Official rating
45

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
41
Career races
1
Wins
2.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.8%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
67 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Trained by Bernard Llewellyn at Fochriw in Mid Glamorgan, Change Of Fortune continues to race actively — it ran just yesterday — despite its modest record. Llewellyn's yard has had a decent season with 12 winners to its name, but this particular horse represents the unglamorous end of racehorse economics: it is the kind of competitor you send out knowing it will try but accepting that prizes will be thin on the ground. Jordan Williams rides it most often, having partnered the horse nine times without a win between them, which suggests they share a relationship of mutual understated tolerance rather than telepathic harmony.

The bleak span of 14 months without victory, combined with its recent form — unplaced, then places of ninth, third, fourth, eighth and fifth across its last six outings — tells you all you need to know. Change Of Fortune is not lame or unwilling. It is just ordinary, the sort of horse that fills the middle ground of the sport, paying its way through places but rarely troubling the judge in the way owners dream of. It remains at it nonetheless, suggesting either remarkable patience or the simple fact that there is always another race to try.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 6% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 10 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Wolverhampton in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Aug
DNF
Ffos Las
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
15 Jun
9th
Chepstow
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
4 Jun
3rd
Ffos Las
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
25 Mar
4th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
23 Feb
8th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 9 runners
30 Jan
5th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
28 Sep
4th
Ffos Las
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 10 runners
29 Aug
3rd
Ffos Las
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 7 runners
5 Aug
3rd
Ffos Las
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners
31 Jul
4th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/9
Wins / rides
Elizabeth Gale
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
Dane O'Neill
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
Miss Jessica Llewellyn
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ffos Las
Galloping
12 1 win, 1 second, 5 thirds, 5 other 12 Aug 8.3%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
6 1 second, 5 other 23 Feb 0%
Windsor
Sharp
4 1 second, 3 other 23 Oct 0%
Bath
Undulating
4 4 other 21 Oct 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 31 Jul 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 8 Mar 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 13 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 22 Sep 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 29 Aug 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Mar 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 18 Apr 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Mar 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 18 Jul 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Jun 0%