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Chanceawetmorning

There is a horse running right now whose recent form tells a story worth paying attention to. Chanceawetmorning, a six-year-old trained by Gordon Elliott at his powerhouse yard in Longwood, Co Meath, has put together a sharp little run of late — two wins from the last six races, with a second and a third also thrown in for good measure. That kind of consistency is exactly what you want to see from a horse hitting its stride.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Snow Sky
Mother
Jim's Article
Owner
Conor McGlone
Rating
118

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
14
Career races
2
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Over a career of 14 races, Chanceawetmorning has won twice and placed six times — finishing in the top three on 8 of 14 outings in total. A win rate of around 1 in every 7 races might not sound spectacular in isolation, but paired with all those placings, it paints a picture of a horse that rarely runs a bad race. It shows up, it competes, and it keeps finding the frame.

The timing of those wins is particularly encouraging. The first came at Kilbeggan in late April 2026, and just three weeks later the horse followed up at Clonmel on 14 May — suggesting this is a horse peaking at just the right time rather than a one-off fluke. Back-to-back wins, at two different tracks, points to genuine form rather than a horse that fluked one result on a good day.

One detail that stands out is how the horse performs on slightly soft ground — wet enough to take the sting out of the earth, but not the heavy, churned-up kind that tests every horse's stamina. On that type of surface, Chanceawetmorning has won 2 of 4 races, a remarkable 50% win rate. That is one in every two attempts — the kind of number that makes you sit up straight. In racing, knowing what conditions a horse thrives in is half the battle, and this one has a very clear preference.

Behind all of this is Gordon Elliott, one of the most prolific training operations in Ireland. His yard has sent out 210 winners already this season — a staggering number that reflects a large string of horses managed to a very high standard. When a horse like Chanceawetmorning starts clicking into form under Elliott's care, it is worth taking notice. Raced just one day ago and still active, this is a horse in the middle of its best run yet.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 May
3rd
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 13 runners
14 May
🏆 Won
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners
24 Apr
🏆 Won
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
6 Mar
DNF
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
15 Jan
2nd
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 19 runners
31 Oct
5th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 23 runners
10 Oct
6th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 10 runners
25 Jan
11th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
28 Dec
11th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 12 runners
16 Dec
13th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 23 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Mr O McGill
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Mr Paddy Hanlon
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 15 Jan 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 31 Oct 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
1 1 win 24 Apr 100%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 win 14 May 100%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Dec 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Aug 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Dec 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 third 30 May 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 29 Jul 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Mar 0%
Sedgefield
Sharp
1 1 third 23 Sep 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
1 1 other 10 Oct 0%