Chanceawetmorning
Chanceawetmorning is a horse that shows up for the job when conditions suit. The six-year-old, trained by
Gordon Elliott at Longwood in Meath, has won 3 of its 18 races — a modest return at first glance, but the story gets more interesting when you look at where those wins come from. On slightly soft or wet ground, this horse is genuinely dangerous: it has won 2 of its last 4 races on that type of surface, a 50% win rate that stands out sharply against its overall career average of roughly 1 win in every 6 races.
Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
44.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
The horse's recent form suggests it is hitting its stride. In its last six outings, it has won twice — at Roscommon on 8 June and in its most recent start just a day ago. That kind of consistency in the last few months is the mark of a horse in form, even if the wins are separated by some patchy results in between. With eight places added to its three wins from 18 races, Chanceawetmorning is clearly competitive and finishes in the money regularly enough to keep earning its way.
Gordon Elliott's yard has been prolific this season, saddling 210 winners, and Chanceawetmorning remains very much an active part of those plans. The key for the yard will be running this horse when the ground is genuinely soft — that is when its formidable hitting rate makes it worth backing.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Likes
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
26 Aug
4th
Bellewstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
9 Aug
3rd
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
14 Jun
9th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
8 Jun
🏆 Won
Roscommon
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 3 runners
30 May
3rd
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 13 runners
14 May
🏆 Won
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners
24 Apr
🏆 Won
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
6 Mar
DNF
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
15 Jan
2nd
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 19 runners
31 Oct
5th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 23 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Downpatrick Undulating |
3 |
1 third, 2 other |
9 Aug |
0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
15 Jan |
0% |
| Down Royal Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
31 Oct |
0% |
| Kilbeggan Tight |
1 |
1 win |
24 Apr |
100% |
| Roscommon Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
8 Jun |
100% |
| Clonmel Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
14 May |
100% |
| Galway Tight |
1 |
1 other |
29 Jul |
0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
22 Aug |
0% |
| Naas Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
16 Dec |
0% |
| Sedgefield Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
23 Sep |
0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
6 Mar |
0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
28 Dec |
0% |
| Listowel Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
30 May |
0% |
| Bellewstown Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
26 Aug |
0% |