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Chanceawetmorning

There are horses that take their time finding their best form, and then there are horses that suddenly click into gear and make up for lost time in a hurry. Chanceawetmorning looks very much like the latter. The six-year-old has three wins and seven places from 16 races overall — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 5 races — but that headline number undersells what has been happening lately. Three wins from the last six races is a completely different story, and it suggests a horse that has worked out what racing is about and is now making the most of it.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Snow Sky
Mother
Jim's Article
Owner
Conor McGlone
Rating
126

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
16
Career races
3
Wins
18.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
43.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The breakthrough came at Kilbeggan in April 2026, and things have moved quickly since. The most recent victory came at Roscommon on 8 June 2026 — just last week — and with a race logged only yesterday, this is a horse in the thick of a busy, productive spell. That kind of quick turnaround is worth noting: the team clearly feel the horse is thriving and are happy to keep it running while the confidence is high.

One thing that stands out from the record is how well Chanceawetmorning performs when there is a bit of moisture in the ground. On wet or soft ground, the horse has won 2 from 4 races — a 50% win rate, meaning it wins every other time it lines up in those conditions. That is a remarkable return and the kind of stat that makes sense of a lot. Some horses genuinely love ease underfoot, and this one is a textbook example.

Behind all of this is Gordon Elliott's operation at Longwood in County Meath, one of the most formidable training yards in Ireland. Elliott's team has sent out 210 winners already this season — a number that tells you everything about the scale and quality of the setup. Getting individual attention and good race placement inside an operation like that is itself an advantage, and Chanceawetmorning appears to be benefiting from exactly that right now. A horse in form, trained by someone who knows exactly where to place it, with a clear preference for soft ground — there is plenty here to keep an eye on as the season continues.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 Jun
9th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
8 Jun
🏆 Won
Roscommon
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 3 runners
30 May
3rd
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 13 runners
14 May
🏆 Won
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners
24 Apr
🏆 Won
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
6 Mar
DNF
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
15 Jan
2nd
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 19 runners
31 Oct
5th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 23 runners
10 Oct
6th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 10 runners
25 Jan
11th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
Mr Paddy Hanlon
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Mr O McGill
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Downpatrick
Undulating
2 2 other 14 Jun 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 31 Oct 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 15 Jan 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
1 1 win 24 Apr 100%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 win 14 May 100%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 win 8 Jun 100%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Aug 0%
Sedgefield
Sharp
1 1 third 23 Sep 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Mar 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 third 30 May 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Dec 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 29 Jul 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Dec 0%