Chanceawetmorning
Chanceawetmorning is a horse that thrives on wet ground and has found his rhythm this autumn. The six-year-old, trained by
Gordon Elliott at Longwood, won at Punchestown just this week—his fifth career victory from 21 races. That might not sound like a runaway success story, but the numbers tell a different tale. He wins roughly one race in every four he enters, and crucially, he's won two of his last six outings, which means he's in form right now.
Based on TrackLab's analysis
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
The horse's real edge is on soft or muddy ground. When conditions are wet, Chanceawetmorning's win rate jumps to 40 percent—he's won 2 of his last 5 races on such surfaces. This is the kind of detail that matters enormously to trainers and punters alike, because it tells you exactly where to look for him. He's also accumulated ten top-3 finishes across his career, so he's consistent enough to be competitive most days, even when he doesn't win. Elliott's Longwood yard has sent out 210 winners this season, so Chanceawetmorning sits within a strong training operation with genuine momentum. With his latest win coming just days ago and his preference for autumn rain well-established, this is a horse worth keeping an eye on when the weather turns wet.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Likes
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, tight
Likes
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
14 Oct
🏆 Won
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
30 Sep
🏆 Won
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
4 Sep
DNF
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 5 runners
26 Aug
4th
Bellewstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
9 Aug
3rd
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
14 Jun
9th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
8 Jun
🏆 Won
Roscommon
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 3 runners
30 May
3rd
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 13 runners
14 May
🏆 Won
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners
24 Apr
🏆 Won
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Downpatrick Undulating |
3 |
1 third, 2 other |
9 Aug |
0% |
| Kilbeggan Tight |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
4 Sep |
50% |
| Down Royal Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
31 Oct |
0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
15 Jan |
0% |
| Sligo Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
30 Sep |
100% |
| Punchestown Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
14 Oct |
100% |
| Clonmel Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
14 May |
100% |
| Roscommon Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
8 Jun |
100% |
| Bellewstown Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
26 Aug |
0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
22 Aug |
0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
6 Mar |
0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
28 Dec |
0% |
| Sedgefield Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
23 Sep |
0% |
| Galway Tight |
1 |
1 other |
29 Jul |
0% |
| Naas Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
16 Dec |
0% |
| Listowel Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
30 May |
0% |