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C'Est Ta Chance

There is a horse in Willie Mullins' yard right now that has quietly put together one of the more compelling recent runs of form you'll find anywhere in Ireland. C'Est Ta Chance is a 7-year-old with 3 wins and 5 places from 13 races — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 4 — and right now it looks to be hitting the best form of its career at exactly the right time.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Elm Park
Mother
Kadiana
Owner
Simon Munir & Isaac Souede
Rating
142

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
13
Career races
3
Wins
23.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
24 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The numbers that matter most are the recent ones. Look at the last six races and you see: 4th, 18th, 5th, 4th, 1st, 1st. That 18th place sits in there like a blip on an otherwise tightening graph. Since then, C'Est Ta Chance has finished in the top five four times in a row and won two of its last six races outright. The most recent of those wins came at Thurles just three weeks ago, and the horse raced again 24 days ago, so this is a horse very much in the thick of its season, not one being nursed back to fitness.

The career started in earnest with a first win at Clonmel in December 2024, and since then the trajectory has been mostly upward. Three wins from 13 races is a respectable record, but what gives this horse genuine interest is the momentum — winning twice in your last six races, with the most recent coming just weeks ago, suggests something has clicked.

The training operation behind C'Est Ta Chance is worth understanding, because it adds important context. Willie Mullins, based at Muine Bheag in County Carlow, is not just any trainer — his yard has sent out 237 winners already this season alone. That is a staggering volume of success, and it means every horse that leaves those stables is prepared to a standard most yards can only aspire to. When a Mullins horse starts winning back-to-back races, it tends to be noticed. The team clearly has C'Est Ta Chance in good order right now, and with the horse still active and presumably more races to come this season, the story is far from finished.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Good to soft
Soft to heavy
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1
Class 2
Class 3
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, undulating
Right-handed, tight turning
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
5 Mar
🏆 Won
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
22 Jan
🏆 Won
Gowran Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 9 runners
28 Dec
4th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 9 runners
21 Nov
5th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 10 runners
1 May
18th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 28 runners
12 Apr
4th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
22 Mar
4th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
20 Feb
4th
Punchestown
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 5 runners
18 Jan
2nd
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners
3 Dec
🏆 Won
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 21 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Daryl Jacob
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Navan
Galloping
3 2 seconds, 1 other 22 Mar 0%
Ayr
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Apr 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 1 May 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 win 3 Dec 100%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 win 5 Mar 100%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 win 22 Jan 100%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Mar 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Nov 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Dec 0%