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Celestial Orbit

At four years old, Celestial Orbit has already proven herself at the very highest level of British racing, and with a career win rate of 38% — three wins from eight races — she has done it with a consistency that marks her out as a genuine talent. Winning roughly 2 in every 5 races is a remarkable return at any level, but doing it against the sport's best makes it all the more impressive.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
No Nay Never
Mother
Rose Bonheur
Owner
J P Magnier/Mrs P Shanahan/Mrs M V Magnier/K MacLennan
Rating
103

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
8
Career races
3
Wins
37.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
62.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
Curragh
About 1.2 miles · Mostly firm ground · 8 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Her rise through the ranks has been quick and purposeful. She broke her duck at Haydock Park in July 2024, then stepped straight up to take a Class 1 race at Sandown Park later that same month — one of the top races in Britain, won on just her second career outing. At that level, winning 1 of her 3 attempts at the very top grade is a solid record that most horses never get close to matching.

What makes Celestial Orbit genuinely fascinating is the story behind her most recent win. Trainer Joseph O'Brien — whose yard has sent out a staggering 171 winners this season alone — revealed she had come over from her previous the yard with one very specific instruction: get her on ground as wet and heavy as possible. Soft, muddy conditions that would have most horses struggling are precisely where she thrives. The problem last season was that brutal ground simply didn't come around often enough. In April 2026 at The Curragh it finally did, and she delivered a win that O'Brien described as exceeding expectations. He's now eyeing a Group 2 race at The Curragh on Guineas weekend as the next target.

Her regular partner in the saddle is Jamie Spencer, and that relationship looks worth keeping. Together they've won 2 from 5 — a 40% win rate — which tells you the combination clicks. There's also a further layer of intrigue: O'Brien has hinted that a breeding career was briefly considered for her this spring, but whether that conversation changes now she's winning in top company remains to be seen.

With a race just yesterday and prizes in French and English Guineas entries still on the table, Celestial Orbit is very much at the centre of things right now — a horse whose best performances are tied to the weather, but who is absolutely lethal when the skies open.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Effective partnership with Jamie Spencer: 40% win rate together

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Ok
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Jun
DNF
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Soft · 8 runners
3 Apr
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 10 runners
17 Sep
4th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 6 runners
31 Aug
7th
Tipperary
7f – 1m · Yielding · 11 runners
15 Apr
2nd
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
25 Jul
🏆 Won
Sandown Park
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
5 Jul
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 6 runners
5 Jun
7th
Kempton Park
5f – 6½f · Standard_To_Slow · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Sandown Park
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 17 Sep 50%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 win 3 Apr 100%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 win 5 Jul 100%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Aug 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 second 15 Apr 0%