Celestial Orbit
Celestial Orbit is a horse that thrives on wet ground and has learned how to use it to her advantage. The 4-year-old has won three times from nine races — a 33% win rate that puts her among the better performers in her yard — and her victories tell a clear story. She won her first race at Haydock Park in July 2024, then struck again at the same track before breaking through at the highest level with a Class 1 win at Sandown in late July. That victory came in soft, heavy conditions, exactly the kind of mud where her trainer
Joseph Patrick O'Brien says she truly excels. Four months ago she won again at The Curragh, the Irish racecourse near her base in County Kilkenny, in what O'Brien described as "brutal conditions" — a day many horses hate but one where Celestial Orbit flourished.
Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Owner
J P Magnier/Mrs P Shanahan/Mrs M V Magnier/K MacLennan
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
55.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
The most recent six races tell a different story. After that Curragh win in April, she has finished sixth, fourth, and seventh, with only a couple of minor placings to show for it. That run of form is the puzzle. O'Brien has suggested that ground conditions may be the issue — Celestial Orbit needs genuine wet or heavy going to perform at her best, and if the track is firm or standard, she struggles. She has ridden primarily with Jamie Spencer, who has won two of five races aboard her, a 40% win rate that exceeds her overall numbers. At the very top level, competing in Class 1 races, she has one win from three attempts. She was last seen just a day ago and remains active.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Effective partnership with Jamie Spencer: 40% win rate together
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Likes
Left-handed, long straights
Likes
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
30 Jul
6th
Galway
7f – 1m · Yielding_To_Soft · 10 runners
11 Jun
DNF
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Soft · 8 runners
3 Apr
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 10 runners
17 Sep
4th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 6 runners
31 Aug
7th
Tipperary
7f – 1m · Yielding · 11 runners
15 Apr
2nd
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
25 Jul
🏆 Won
Sandown Park
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
5 Jul
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 6 runners
5 Jun
7th
Kempton Park
5f – 6½f · Standard_To_Slow · 11 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Sandown Park Galloping |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
17 Sep |
50% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
3 Apr |
100% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
5 Jul |
100% |
| Galway Tight |
1 |
1 other |
30 Jul |
0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
5 Jun |
0% |
| Tipperary Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
31 Aug |
0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
15 Apr |
0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
11 Jun |
0% |