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Cavolo Nero

There is something quietly compelling about a horse that keeps showing up in the frame without quite dominating it — and Cavolo Nero fits that description well. This four-year-old has won 2 races and finished in the placed positions six more times from nine outings, which works out at roughly winning 1 in every 4.5 races (22%). That is a horse who is rarely out of the action, even when the win is not coming.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Rating
86

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
9
Career races
2
Wins
22.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
66.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
25 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The career so far has two clear highlights. The first win came at Southwell in January 2025, a useful moment for any horse to get off the mark in winter conditions. The second, and more recent, arrived at Goodwood in May 2025 — a genuinely lovely track on the South Downs where winning tends to mean something. Goodwood is a demanding, undulating circuit that finds out horses quickly, so landing a race there is no small thing.

Most of Cavolo Nero's work has been done at Class 4 level — a solid middle tier of British racing, not the glamour end but competitive enough that you cannot simply run through it. The record there reads 1 win from 5 races, which again reinforces the picture: a horse that places more often than it wins, but keeps turning up.

James Ferguson trains this horse out of Newmarket, the heartland of British flat racing, and his yard has sent out 26 winners already this season — a strong operation in full flow. Daniel Muscutt rides Cavolo Nero most often, and their record together is 1 win from 5 races, a 20% win rate that mirrors the horse's overall profile almost exactly. There is consistency there, even if it is not electrifying.

The recent form — finishing second and third in the last two runs — suggests the horse is in decent nick right now, having bounced back from a tricky patch in the middle of those six runs when it finished eighth and sixth. Last raced 25 days ago and still active, Cavolo Nero looks like a horse searching for the right moment to get its head back in front. Whether that comes soon will depend on where Ferguson pitches it next, but this is a horse that rarely embarrasses itself and has already shown it can win on a big stage.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Good to firm
Soft (muddy)
Standard to slow
Heavy (very wet)
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3
Class 4
Ok
Class 5
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, undulating
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Left-handed, tight turning
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Mar
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow
23 Sep
3rd
Lingfield Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
5 Sep
4th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Soft · 15 runners
31 Jul
8th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 20 runners
20 Jun
6th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
3 May
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
17 Apr
2nd
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
28 Feb
2nd
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
14 Jan
🏆 Won
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Daniel Muscutt Current Jockey
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 28 Feb 50%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 31 Jul 50%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 20 Jun 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 second 4 Mar 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 third 23 Sep 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Sep 0%