Cavallo Pazzo
Cavallo Pazzo is a horse that saves its best performances for the worst weather. The 7-year-old has won just 3 of its 21 races — a modest 14% win rate — but when the ground turns wet and muddy, something shifts. On those treacherous surfaces, it wins roughly 1 in every 3 races (2 wins from 6), a win rate nearly triple its overall average. That kind of specialisation is genuinely useful. Horses that thrive in specific conditions become valuable commodities in a yard, and trainer
Daragh Bourke's Waterbeck team clearly understands this.
Based on TrackLab's analysis
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
Cavallo Pazzo won most recently this week at Newcastle on 16 October 2026, a victory that came at just the right moment given its variable recent form. Looking back six races, the record reads 1-8-6-7-9-7 — a stark reminder that consistency has not been this horse's hallmark. The win at Newcastle broke a long drought and shows the horse still has racing left in it at seven years old. When the horse has found the winning line, it has typically done so at distances between seven furlongs and a mile, winning 2 of 8 races over that range (25%).
Dylan Browne McMonagle, the horse's most frequent partner, has ridden it to both of those distance-suited wins. Together they have won 2 of 9 races (22%), a partnership that works better than the horse manages overall. The pairing will be one to watch, particularly if wet ground comes into play and distance sits in that sweet spot. Cavallo Pazzo may not be a headline act, but it has a clear profile — a horse that punches above its weight when rain hammers the track and the trip falls right.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on heavy ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Ayr in 5 attempts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Likes
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Oct
🏆 Won
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
17 Sep
8th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Soft · 14 runners
9 Oct
6th
Ayr
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 12 runners
18 Sep
7th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
10 Jun
9th
Catterick Bridge
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
28 Apr
7th
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 10 runners
5 Nov
4th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Soft · 9 runners
30 Sep
9th
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 9 runners
12 Aug
10th
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 10 runners
20 Jul
11th
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
| Ayr Galloping |
5 |
5 other |
17 Sep |
0% |
| Naas Galloping |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
14 Oct |
50% |
| Down Royal Galloping |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
25 Sep |
50% |
| Navan Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
2 Sep |
0% |
| Tipperary Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
11 Aug |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
16 Oct |
100% |
| Ripon Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
20 Jul |
0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
18 Sep |
0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
5 Apr |
0% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
5 Nov |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
5 Nov |
0% |
| Hamilton Park Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
30 Sep |
0% |
| Catterick Bridge Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
10 Jun |
0% |