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Cavallo Pazzo

Cavallo Pazzo is a horse that saves its best performances for the worst weather. The 7-year-old has won just 3 of its 21 races — a modest 14% win rate — but when the ground turns wet and muddy, something shifts. On those treacherous surfaces, it wins roughly 1 in every 3 races (2 wins from 6), a win rate nearly triple its overall average. That kind of specialisation is genuinely useful. Horses that thrive in specific conditions become valuable commodities in a yard, and trainer Daragh Bourke's Waterbeck team clearly understands this.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Starspangledbanner
Mother
Monaleen
Owner
Scott Lowther
Official rating
55

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
21
Career races
3
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
28.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
2 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Cavallo Pazzo won most recently this week at Newcastle on 16 October 2026, a victory that came at just the right moment given its variable recent form. Looking back six races, the record reads 1-8-6-7-9-7 — a stark reminder that consistency has not been this horse's hallmark. The win at Newcastle broke a long drought and shows the horse still has racing left in it at seven years old. When the horse has found the winning line, it has typically done so at distances between seven furlongs and a mile, winning 2 of 8 races over that range (25%).

Dylan Browne McMonagle, the horse's most frequent partner, has ridden it to both of those distance-suited wins. Together they have won 2 of 9 races (22%), a partnership that works better than the horse manages overall. The pairing will be one to watch, particularly if wet ground comes into play and distance sits in that sweet spot. Cavallo Pazzo may not be a headline act, but it has a clear profile — a horse that punches above its weight when rain hammers the track and the trip falls right.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on heavy ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Ayr in 5 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Oct
🏆 Won
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
17 Sep
8th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Soft · 14 runners
9 Oct
6th
Ayr
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 12 runners
18 Sep
7th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
10 Jun
9th
Catterick Bridge
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
28 Apr
7th
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 10 runners
5 Nov
4th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Soft · 9 runners
30 Sep
9th
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 9 runners
12 Aug
10th
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 10 runners
20 Jul
11th
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
22.2%
Win rate
2/9
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ayr
Galloping
5 5 other 17 Sep 0%
Naas
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 14 Oct 50%
Down Royal
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 25 Sep 50%
Navan
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 2 Sep 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 11 Aug 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 win 16 Oct 100%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 20 Jul 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 second 18 Sep 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Apr 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Nov 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Nov 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 30 Sep 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 10 Jun 0%