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Castle Stuart

The horse has won just twice from 19 starts — a win rate of roughly 1 in 9 — which puts it firmly in the middle order of racehorses, neither a standout performer nor a tail-ender. What makes the record more interesting is where those wins have come: both victories arrived at mid-range distances between 1 mile 1 furlong and 1 mile 2 furlongs, where Castle Stuart has won 2 of its 4 races, a win rate of 50 percent. This suggests the horse knows its best trip and performs significantly better when given that distance.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Dubawi
Mother
Golden Crown
Owner
P D Smith Holdings Ltd
Official rating
89

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
19
Career races
2
Wins
10.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36.8%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
8 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The more pressing concern is the drought since July 2025, when Castle Stuart won a top-flight Class 2 race at Musselburgh. That remains the horse's finest hour, but it now stretches back 16 months without another victory. In its last six runs, the horse has managed only minor placings — a third, a couple of fifth-place finishes, and a ninth — which hints at declining form or a yard struggling to find the right race. Castle Stuart actually competes most frequently in Class 2 races, the very top tier, but manages just 1 win from 5 attempts at that level, suggesting it may have risen slightly above its ceiling. A drop to Class 3 company might prove more fruitful.

Richard and Peter Fahey's yard at Musley Bank has been in decent form this season, sending out 23 winners, so the infrastructure to turn a horse around exists. Castle Stuart was last seen just over a day ago and remains in active training. If the Faheys can nudge this horse back towards those mid-range distances where it wins at 50 percent and away from the very top races, there may be more wins to come. For now, though, it is a horse that has proved capable of beating good opposition but has lost its way.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 50% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at York in 8 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 13 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Oct
13th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 20 runners
6 Sep
3rd
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 17 runners
22 Aug
5th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
8 Aug
9th
Ascot
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
11 Jul
4th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
12 Jun
2nd
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 16 runners
30 May
10th
Carlisle
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
15 May
6th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 17 runners
29 Mar
6th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
8 Nov
7th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 23 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
Barry McHugh Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
2/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
York
Galloping
8 1 second, 2 thirds, 5 other 10 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
3 3 other 29 Mar 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 third 1 Jul 50%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 9 Aug 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 win 23 Aug 100%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 30 May 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 21 Oct 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Aug 0%