UK time :

Carmel Valley

The win came at 1m1f on 12 October, a distance where Carmel Valley has shown real promise — it has won 1 of 3 races at that trip, a 33% win rate that stands out sharply against its 10% win rate overall. That alone hints at a horse with a clear preference: get the distance right, and Carmel Valley performs.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Brown
Father
Raven's Pass
Mother
Que Sera Sera
Owner
Lamont Racing
Official rating
59

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
10
Career races
1
Wins
10%
Win rate
avg ~10%
30%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
6 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The recent form reads 1-12-8-7-3-2 across the last six races, a mixed picture that shows glimpses of ability alongside plenty of disappointment. The string of placings — second, third, seventh, eighth, twelfth — suggests Carmel Valley is capable of getting into the mix more often than it wins, but something is still missing. Trainer Katie Scott's yard at Galashiels has been in form this season with 17 winners, so the infrastructure is there to support improvement. What matters now is whether Carmel Valley can build on this week's success or whether it returns to the frustrating pattern of near-misses that has defined most of its career so far. It is actively racing, and at three years old there is time to find more wins at the distances that suit it best.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Ayr in 5 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Oct
🏆 Won
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
17 Sep
12th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Soft · 14 runners
24 Aug
8th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
10 Aug
7th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
27 Jul
3rd
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
6 Jul
2nd
Ayr
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
19 Jun
7th
Ayr
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 9 runners
10 May
6th
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
25 Apr
7th
Limerick
7f – 1m · Yielding · 15 runners
4 Oct
7th
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Soft_To_Heavy · 14 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ayr
Galloping
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 17 Sep 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 win 12 Oct 100%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 10 May 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 24 Aug 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%