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Carefree Dream

Carefree Dream has been racing for long enough now that the initial promise of that debut win at Bath thirteen months ago feels like a distant memory. The three-year-old has managed only one victory in eighteen races overall — a 6% win rate that tells you this is a horse fighting hard just to find the line first. But there's a pattern here worth noting: when Carefree Dream runs in the lower classes, it actually knows how to finish the job, winning one in every seven races at that level, which is respectable form for a horse of this calibre.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Dream Ahead
Mother
Blithe Spirit
Trainer
J. S. Moore
Owner
W Hamer
Official rating
67

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
18
Career races
1
Wins
5.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.9%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
10 days
Since last race

🏁 Next race

Tomorrow
Bath
About 5 furlongs · Good ground · 10 runners

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The trouble is consistency. The recent six races tell the story of a horse that can show up on the day — a second-place finish most recently, a couple of fourth-place finishes mixed in — but can't string it together. Those are the kind of results that keep you thinking the next win might be just round the corner, except it isn't. Thirteen months is a long time to wait between victories in racing terms, and Carefree Dream remains in J. S. Moore's yard at Upper Lambourn, where the trainer has been sending out winners regularly this season. That's the environment a horse needs if it's going to turn things around: a yard firing on all cylinders. Carefree Dream was back in action just days ago, which suggests the team hasn't given up on finding that second win. For a three-year-old with this record, staying active is probably the right call.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Oct
3rd
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
29 Sep
10th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
8 Aug
4th
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 6 runners
24 Jul
6th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
4 Jul
4th
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
19 Jun
2nd
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
12 Jun
2nd
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Soft · 5 runners
4 Jun
5th
Ffos Las
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
17 Apr
10th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
24 Sep
14th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Ashley Lewis
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Bath
Undulating
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 8 Oct 25%
Chepstow
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 25 Jul 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
3 2 seconds, 1 other 19 Jun 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 8 Aug 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 24 Jul 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 9 Jul 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Jun 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 third 22 Jul 0%