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California Dreamer

There is something quietly stubborn about California Dreamer. With 2 wins and 7 places from 17 races — winning roughly 1 in every 8 — this four-year-old will never be mistaken for an elite talent, but it keeps showing up and keeps finding a way to be competitive.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Mehmas
Mother
Penelopa
Owner
AMO Racing Limited & Giselle De Aguiar
Rating
104

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
17
Career races
2
Wins
11.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
41.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The most striking thing in the numbers is what happens when California Dreamer goes to Dundalk. Two wins from just 3 visits to that track is a remarkable return — for context, the horse has won exactly 0 races everywhere else. Something about that venue suits it perfectly, whether it is the surface, the tight turns, or simply the trip on offer. Its first career win came at Dundalk in February 2025, and its most recent win came there too, just four weeks ago in March 2026. That is the whole story of California Dreamer's winning career, written entirely at one address.

The preferred distance of 1 mile 1 furlong to 1 mile 2 furlongs tells you this is a horse that needs time to warm up — not a sprinter, but not a true stayer either. It has won 2 of its 7 races at that trip, which works out at 29%, a genuinely solid number when the overall career win rate sits at 12%. Normal ground brings out the best in it too: 2 wins from just 3 races on a standard surface is a 67% return, though the small sample size means you should take that with a pinch of salt rather than bet the house on it.

The partnership with jockey David Egan is harder to put a positive spin on. Eleven races together, zero wins — that is a long run without a breakthrough, and recent form has not helped: finishing 9th, 1st, 11th, 10th, 7th and 12th across the last six races paints a picture of inconsistency. The single win in that sequence was the Dundalk success four weeks ago, sandwiched between some very ordinary efforts.

Trainer Robson De Aguiar, based in Mullingar, has sent out 10 winners this season, so the yard clearly knows how to get a horse ready to win. California Dreamer has tried stepping up to the top level of racing four times and drawn a blank on each occasion — that is probably one level above where this horse belongs right now. Catch it at Dundalk, at the right trip, on normal ground, and you have a horse that punches well above its average.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 29% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Yet to win at The Curragh in 7 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 10 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to firm
Good to yielding
Good to soft
Soft (muddy)
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
5F – 6½F
Avoids
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Loves
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
3 Apr
9th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 10 runners
6 Mar
🏆 Won
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 6 runners
13 Sep
11th
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Yielding · 11 runners
24 Aug
10th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
20 Jul
7th
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good_To_Yielding · 11 runners
21 Jun
12th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
25 May
2nd
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
5 May
4th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
12 Apr
12th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good · 16 runners
21 Feb
🏆 Won
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
David Egan Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/11
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
7 2 seconds, 1 third, 4 other 3 Apr 0%
Dundalk
Galloping
3 2 wins, 1 second 6 Mar 66.7%
Naas
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 24 Aug 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 2 other 21 Jun 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Oct 0%