Cairdeas
Cairdeas has won just once in 22 races, but there is a genuine sense that his best form may still be ahead of him. The 4-year-old broke his duck at Newmarket on 16 August 2024—over two years ago now—and has not found the winner's enclosure since, finishing in the top 3 in six of those 22 outings. It is a modest record on paper, but
Paul Midgley, who recently acquired him from William Haggas, sees something worth developing. The Westow-based trainer believes Cairdeas jumped and travelled smoothly when tried over 7f at York recently, though he suggests the extra distance may have caught him out. Midgley's prescription is simple: drop him back to 6f and be patient. He has made clear he expects the horse to mature into something better than what we have seen so far.
Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
Colin Alton P T Midgley
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
The numbers back up that cautious optimism. At distances between 7f and a mile, where Cairdeas is supposed to excel, he has won 1 of 8 races (12% win rate)—nearly three times better than his overall record. In Class 4 races, his typical home, he wins roughly 1 in every 11 outings. Tom Marquand, his most frequent jockey, has partnered him seven times and won once together. Recent form has been patchy—across his last six races, he finished second three races ago and fourth two back, but has not threatened the placings in his most recent two outings. Still, with a trainer who has sent out 39 winners already this season and is clearly working with a plan, there is reason to think Cairdeas might yet deliver on his potential.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 12% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 13 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Oct
11th
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 18 runners
1 Oct
3rd
Nottingham
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
31 Aug
10th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
6 Aug
4th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
27 Jul
12th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
20 Jun
2nd
Nottingham
5f – 6½f · Good · 6 runners
3 Jun
5th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
16 May
2nd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
14 Oct
12th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
25 Sep
6th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Newmarket Galloping |
3 |
1 win, 2 other |
20 Jun |
33.3% |
| Ripon Sharp |
3 |
1 third, 2 other |
3 Jun |
0% |
| Southwell Galloping |
3 |
3 other |
31 Aug |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
16 May |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
14 Oct |
0% |
| York Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
26 Jul |
0% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 third |
1 Oct |
0% |
| Pontefract Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
25 Sep |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
13 Oct |
0% |
| Salisbury Undulating |
1 |
1 third |
11 Jun |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
3 Jul |
0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
22 May |
0% |