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Cabeza de Llave

Cabeza de Llave is a seven-year-old horse that has been racing for nearly three years without finding the winner's circle, a dry spell that began shortly after his last victory at Chelmsford on 17 October 2024. Over his entire career, he has won 6 races from 54 starts—a win rate of roughly 1 in every 9 attempts—but more recently, his form has been modest. In his last six races, he has finished in the middle of the field or worse: fourth, fourth, fifth, fifth, eighth, and third. He raced just yesterday, which suggests he remains a regular competitor despite the lack of recent success.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Pearl Secret
Mother
Speed Princess
Owner
Dare To Dream Racing
Official rating
48

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
54
Career races
6
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
37.0%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
16 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Cabeza de Llave worth watching is his dominance at one particular track. At Chelmsford, he has won 3 of his 12 races there—a far better win rate of 1 in every 4 starts. That track clearly suits him, and his most recent win came there, so there is at least one place where he performs above his average. He is strongest in lower-level races: in Class 6 competition, he has won 4 of 27 races (roughly 1 in every 7), which is noticeably better than his overall record. William Carson has been his regular jockey, riding him 16 times and winning twice, a partnership that has built some understanding over time.

Trained by Michael Attwater at Epsom, Cabeza de Llave operates within a yard that has already sent out 27 winners this season, suggesting a stable with solid form. For a horse now in his middle years, Cabeza de Llave is the kind that suits low-level, track-specific racing—a reliable competitor when conditions and venue align, but not a horse building toward anything bigger. His Chelmsford form alone makes him worth a second look when he heads back there.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Course specialist at chelmsford: 3 wins from 12 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Yet to win at Wolverhampton in 7 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at Bath in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 13 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Good (a little give)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Sprint (< 5F)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track shape
Long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Left-handed, hilly
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Oct
4th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
16 Sep
4th
Sandown Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
7 Sep
5th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
21 Jul
5th
Salisbury
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
29 Jun
8th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
22 Jun
3rd
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
19 May
5th
Lingfield Park
Sprint (< 5f) · Good · 11 runners
7 May
2nd
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
25 Apr
6th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 7 runners
21 Feb
3rd
chelmsford
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
William Carson Current jockey
12.5%
Win rate
2/16
Wins / rides
14.3%
Win rate
2/14
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Windsor
Sharp
14 2 wins, 3 seconds, 2 thirds, 7 other 7 Sep 14.3%
chelmsford 12 3 wins, 1 second, 4 thirds, 4 other 21 Feb 25%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
7 1 third, 6 other 2 Oct 0%
Bath
Undulating
5 1 second, 4 other 1 Oct 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
3 3 other 22 Apr 0%
Brighton
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 28 May 50%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 2 other 19 May 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 29 Jul 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 16 Sep 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 other 18 Oct 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 21 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 3 May 0%